546
FXUS64 KJAN 121725
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1125 AM CST WED NOV 12 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO UNDERGO A WARMING TREND FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK, BRINGING AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S/
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 50S.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN NEXT WEEK AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES
INTO THE ARKLAMISS REGION.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST WED NOV 12 2025
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF
COAST REGION THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. WHILE SOME PASSING
SHORTWAVES TO THE NORTH MAY KEEP A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE
REGION, THE GENERAL EFFECT WILL BE WARM AND DRY WEATHER FOR OUR
FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL FOR MID NOVEMBER. OVERALL TRENDS WITH THE MODEL GUIDANCE
CONTINUE TO SHOW UPSTREAM WEATHER PATTERN WILL DIG TROUGH FARTHER
WEST THIS WEEKEND. LIFTING SHORTWAVES FROM THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH
WILL THEREFORE BE DIRECTED MORE NORTH AND WEST OF OUR FORECAST AREA,
AND THE FOCUS FOR RAIN OR THUNDERSTORM CHANCES NEXT MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WILL PRIMARILY BE DIRECTED NORTH AND WEST OF OUR FORECAST
AREA. /NF/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST WED NOV 12 2025
VFR FLIGHT CONDITION WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS NEAR 10 KTS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO 2-
5 KTS THIS EVENING. AROUND 09Z THURSDAY, POTENTIAL FOG DEVELOPMENT
MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY TO MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS SOUTH OF I-20. FLIGHT
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO VFR AFTER 12Z THURSDAY. /SW/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 51 76 52 77 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 47 75 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 53 77 55 78 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 50 79 51 80 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 53 78 54 79 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 51 75 55 77 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 50 75 53 77 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
NF/SW
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