244
FXUS64 KJAN 261556 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
956 AM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
..NEW MESOSCALE UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND.
- MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 948 AM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
THE DENSE FOG DISSIPATED EARLIER THAN ANTICIPATED AND THE DENSE
FOG ADVISORY FOR OUR SOUTH WAS CANCELED. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS
HAD A 1020MB HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF THAT WAS
PROVIDING AND MOIST SOUTHWEST-SOUTH FLOW ACROSS OUR CWA. LATEST
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER OVER OUR REGION BUT
THESE CLOUDS SHOULD BREAK UP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND
ALLOW ENOUGH INSOLATION FOR TEMPERATURES TO TOP OUT WELL ABOVE
NORMAL AGAIN. /22/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 355 AM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
AN UNUSUALLY WARM WEATHER PATTERN WITH STRONG CENTRAL CONUS
RIDGING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. ASIDE FROM NEAR
RECORD WARMTH, WE WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE LATE NIGHT TO EARLY
MORNING DENSE FOG EVENTS, MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG IS CURRENTLY BEING
OBSERVED.
AFTER A LONG STRETCH OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH, THERE WILL BE A
SHARP CHANGE TO MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A
STRONG COLD FRONT BRINGS IN A RUSH OF COLD POLAR AIR. THE BULK OF
GUIDANCE HAVE LOCKED IN ON A LATE SUNDAY NIGHT TO EARLY MONDAY
MORNING FRONTAL PASSAGE, MEANING THAT HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD BE
EARLY IN THE DAY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA GIVEN THE STRONG COLD
ADVECTION. RAINFALL WITH THE FRONT WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY
LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH.
FOLLOWING THE FRONT, BRISK NORTHWEST/NORTHERLY WINDS MAY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO REQUIRE FORMAL MESSAGING IN THE HWO GRAPHICS. THE
THERMAL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD SURFACE HIGH WILL SHIFT SLOWLY
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MID WEEK BRINGING A FEW NIGHTS OF LONG
DURATION FREEZES, BUT DANGEROUS COLD IMPACTS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
/EC/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 530 AM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS SHOULD BE EXPECTED AT SOUTHERN TAF SITES AND
GTR THROUGH 18Z. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO VFR
AS BR/FG DISSIPATES, WHILE SOME SITES MAINTAIN LOWERED CLOUD
DECKS ONLY IMPROVING TO MVFR CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL INCREASE BY
LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA WITH GUSTS
APPROACHING 20KTS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY BY EARLY EVENING.
BR/FG IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT AT SOUTHERN TAF
SITES LIKELY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS BACK TO IFR/LIFR BY EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING./KP/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 76 62 78 60 / 0 10 0 0
MERIDIAN 75 60 76 58 / 0 10 0 0
VICKSBURG 77 63 78 61 / 0 10 0 0
HATTIESBURG 78 62 80 60 / 0 10 0 10
NATCHEZ 78 64 79 61 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 75 62 75 61 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 74 62 76 61 / 0 10 10 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
22/EC/KP
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