073
FXUS64 KJAN 141745 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1145 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
- MOST NIGHTS SHOULD SEE TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW
FREEZING THIS WEEK.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 917 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
NEAR TERM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT OVER
ARKANSAS PUSHING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ACROSS OUR CWA THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING
AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE PINE
BELT. SKY CONDITIONS WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY HEADING INTO THE
AFTERNOON AS A QUICK LOOK AT THE GOES 16 VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS
CLOUDS BUILDING FROM THE WEST. THE ONGOING CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH
THE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL HELP KEEP AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
MID/UPPER 50S AREAWIDE. /CR/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLIDING EAST ALONG THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR THIS MORNING IS PRODUCING LIGHT RAIN AHEAD OF IT. RAIN
RATES ARE LIGHT, WITH MOST OBS SITES REPORTING AT BEST AROUND 0.05
INCHES PER HOUR. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES EAST, RAIN WILL TAPER
OFF. THEN SOME SHOWERS OR ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP AS AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A SERIES OF REINFORCING COLD FRONTS
PUSHING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS TONIGHT THROUGH THE LATE WEEK
WHICH WILL HELP MAINTAIN DRY AIR. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
FREEZING/SUBFREEZING OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1145 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN TAF SITES THIS
MORNING (BRIEF VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS TO MVFR AND LOWERED MVFR
STRATUS). RAIN AND STRATUS WILL CLEAR WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS,
BETWEEN 14/22Z TO 15/00Z THURSDAY. SOME WIND GUSTS WILL PICK UP
THIS AFTERNOON TO EVENING (SUSTAINED AROUND 15 MPH AND GUSTS OF 20
TO 25MPH). WINDS SHIFT NORTHERLY INTO THE EVENING AND SOME GUSTS
CONTINUE UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT (15/06-08Z THURSDAY). CLOUDS BECOME
BROKEN TO SCATTERED THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT, WITH VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORIES THROUGH THE END OF THE 18Z TAF CYCLE. /DC/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 56 27 46 31 / 40 10 0 0
MERIDIAN 55 25 45 26 / 50 10 0 0
VICKSBURG 58 28 47 33 / 30 10 0 0
HATTIESBURG 61 31 50 30 / 30 20 0 0
NATCHEZ 60 29 49 33 / 20 10 0 0
GREENVILLE 56 27 44 33 / 30 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 55 24 44 31 / 50 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
CR/NF/DC
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