684
FXUS64 KJAN 020530
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1130 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN CHANCES PICK UP LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE DRIER
CONDITIONS LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 928 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
ALTHOUGH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS OUR CWA
TONIGHT, A >1030MB SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE LOUISIANA COAST
WILL SHIFT EAST RESULTING IN A LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY WIND. THIS
SOUTH WIND WILL HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY DROPPED BELOW FREEZING AND WERE ON TRACK
TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 20S WHICH IS STILL COLDER THAN
NORMAL. /22/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 114 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING QUIET CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
TONIGHT'S LOWS (LOW/MID 20S) WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING ACROSS
THE AREA. AS THE HIGH CONTINUES SOUTHEASTWARD, HIGHS (UPPER 40S-NEAR
60 DEGREES)/LOW (RANGING IN THE 30S-40S) WILL CONTINUE TO RUN BELOW
SEASONAL TO NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES. MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED
AHEAD OF THE AN INCOMING SHORTWAVE TROUGH, BRINGING SHOWERS AND AN
ISOLATED T-STORM CHANCES BACK ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH THE
GREATEST CHANCES TUESDAY EVENING. AREAWIDE POPS BETWEEN 50-90% ARE
EXPECTED, SETTING UP FOR A WET MID-WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
SWING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING DROPPING OVERNIGHT LOWS
BACK TO THE 20S. ONCE THE BOUNDARY PASSES, QUIETER WEATHER PATTERN
EXPECTED AS ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH SETTLES INTO THE SOUTHEAST. TEMPS
WILL RETURN TO SEASONAL AVERAGES BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. /SW/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
QUIET CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD WITH
VFR CEILINGS PREVAILING. /CR/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 25 60 41 63 / 0 0 0 70
MERIDIAN 22 57 36 65 / 0 0 0 50
VICKSBURG 27 59 42 61 / 0 0 0 80
HATTIESBURG 25 60 38 69 / 0 0 0 20
NATCHEZ 27 62 43 65 / 0 0 0 60
GREENVILLE 25 52 40 53 / 0 0 0 90
GREENWOOD 25 55 40 56 / 0 0 0 90
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
22/SW/CR
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