688
FXUS64 KJAN 030241 CCA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED KEY MESSAGES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
841 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026
..NEW MESOSCALE UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN CHANCES PICK UP TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE DRIER
CONDITIONS LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 840 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026
HIGH CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO ENCROACH UPON THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF
OUR NEXT STORM SYSTEM, BUT PRECIP IS STILL SEVERAL HOURS AWAY
CLOSER TO DAYBREAK. TEMPERATURES WERE RUNNING AHEAD OF GUIDANCE
FOR MUCH OF TODAY AND EVEN HAVE CONTINUED TO DO SO INTO THIS
EVENING IN SOME AREAS. BASED ON THIS, MINOR TWEAKS WERE MADE TO
HOURLY TEMPS, BUT NO SIGNFICANT FORECAST UPDATES ARE PLANNED AT
THIS TIME. /DL/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1209 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026
THROUGH TONIGHT ...
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT MIDDAY SHOWS MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS THE AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. WHITE STREAKS
ON THE IMAGERY FROM SE ARKANSAS ACROSS NW MISSISSIPPI REVEALS AN
AREA OF ICE/SLEET/SNOW STILL COVERING THE GROUND MORE THAN A WEEK
AFTER THE LATE JANUARY ICE STORM. THIS COULD HAVE LOCALIZED
EFFECTS THAT MAY RESULT IN SOMEWHAT HIGHER FOG CHANCES NEARBY AS
WELL AS SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPERATURES UNTIL THE ICE IS ABLE TO
FULLY MELT/SUBLIMATE.
FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES TONIGHT WITH CLOUD COVER BEGINNING TO
INCREASE AHEAD OF TUESDAY EVENING COLD FRONT AND RAIN CHANCES.
LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE NOTICEABLY WARMER THAN RECENTLY, FALLING INTO
THE 40S AND UPPER 30S F FOR MOST.
TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEK...
A COLD FRONT ARRIVES TUESDAY BUT NOT BEFORE WE SEE TEMPERATURES
RISE TO SOME OF THE WARMEST VALUES WE'VE SEEN IN A BIT, LOW TO MID
60S F FOR THOSE ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR AND MID TO UPPER 50S F FOR
MOST TO THE NORTH. THE FRONT LIKELY BRINGS RAIN CHANCES IN ITS
VICINITY BY LATE MORNING AND INTO THE EVENING AS IT SWEEPS FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST, CLEARING THE PINE BELT PREDAWN WEDNESDAY
MORNING. COOLER AIR FOLLOWS BEHIND AND WE'LL SEE SOME CHILLY DAYS
WITH LOWS BACK DOWN INTO THE 20S F AND HIGHS IN THE 40S F FOR MOST
BEFORE A WARMING TREND REALLY GETS GOING FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE 60S F AREAWIDE.
THIS WEEKEND ...
IT HAS BEEN SOMETIME SINCE WE HAVE BEEN ABLE TO ADVERTISE A
PLEASANT WEEKEND TO BE LIKELY. BUT IT APPEARS THIS FIRST FULL
WEEKEND OF FEBRUARY MAY FIT THE BILL. WITH LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN
AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S F DURING THE DAY AND UPPER 30S TO 40S
F AT NIGHT, THIS NEARER-TO-NORMAL PATTERN ESPECIALLY DURING THE
DAY SHOULD BE A PLEASANT REPRIEVE FROM THE PROLONGED COLD AND DAMP
PERIOD WE WERE PRIVILEGED TO OVER THE BACK HALF OF JANUARY.
LOOKING A BIT FURTHER, AND AS I PROMISED PREVIOUSLY I'D SHARE AS
SOON AS IT LOOKED REALISTIC, THERE ARE SOME SIGNS THAT WE MAY NOW
BE MOVING BEYOND THE LONGEST AND COLDEST PERIOD OF THIS WINTER
SEASON. WITH A LITTLE MORE DAYLIGHT EACH DAY, HIGHER SUN ANGLES,
AND NO MAJOR WINTER STORMS ON THE IMMEDIATE HORIZON, WE MIGHT BE
TURNING A CORNER OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO TOWARD A MORE PROLONGED
PERIOD OF NEAR TO PERHAPS A BIT ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES...
REGARDLESS OF WHAT THAT PENNSYLVANIA RODENT HAD TO SAY ABOUT IT
TODAY. YOUR WORDS HAVE NO POWER HERE, BE GONE FROM THIS PLACE,
GROUNDHOG! /86/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 526 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AREAWIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, BUT HIGH
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
DURING MAINLY THE DAYTIME AND EARLY EVENING HOURS TOMORROW AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION. CEILINGS WILL FALL TO MVFR
AND IFR ALONG THE FRONT, BEGINNING AROUND GLH AND GWO TUESDAY
MORNING, THEN FOR HEZ/JAN/GTR AND POINTS SOUTHEAST BY TUESDAY
EVENING. VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS TO MVFR ARE ALSO EXPECTED IN
OCCASIONALLY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. S/SW WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AT
TIMES TOMORROW AHEAD OF THE FRONT, AND SW LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS
POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING, MAINLY AROUND GLH. /DL/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 40 62 36 47 / 0 80 90 0
MERIDIAN 35 65 39 50 / 0 60 90 0
VICKSBURG 42 61 35 47 / 0 90 80 0
HATTIESBURG 36 69 45 55 / 0 30 90 20
NATCHEZ 44 65 37 51 / 0 70 80 0
GREENVILLE 40 54 32 43 / 0 90 30 0
GREENWOOD 40 56 32 44 / 0 90 60 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
DL/86
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