389
FXUS64 KJAN 031141
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
541 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING
BEFORE DRIER CONDITIONS LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 235 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
NEAR TERM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS OUR
FORECAST AREA TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL HELP BRING IN RAIN CHANCES
LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE EVENING AS IT SWEEPS FROM THE
NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST. A FEW STRONG ISOLATED STORMS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE NORTH WILL PEAK IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. ELSEWHERE, AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20 WILL SEE HIGHS
IN THE LOW TO MID 60S F. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED T-STORMS WILL CONTINUE
LATER TONIGHT AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST,
CLEARING THE PINE BELT PREDAWN WEDNESDAY MORNING. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL DIP INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S F AREAWIDE. /CR/
WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY...
COOLER AND QUIET CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS OUR AREA HEADING
INTO WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE COLD FRONT EXITS OUR CWA.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE 20S F FOR BOTH DAYS WITH HIGHS
PEAKING IN THE 40S F. WE WILL START TO SEE A WARMING TREND START TO
GET GOING ON FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE 60S F AREAWIDE.
WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S F DURING THE DAY
AND UPPER 30S TO 40S F DURING THE NIGHT, THIS FIRST FULL WEEKEND OF
FEBRUARY LOOKS TO BE PLEASANT. LOOKING AHEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
FUTURE GUIDANCE IS STARTING TO SHOW LOW RAIN CHANCES (10% POPS)
GENERALLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA.
OUTSIDE OF THAT, DAYTIME HIGHS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK ARE FORECASTED TO
PEAK IN THE UPPER 60S F TO LOW 70S F UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. /CR/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 541 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
AS OF 1141Z, ALL TAF SITES ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING VFR CEILINGS.
CEILINGS WILL REMAIN IN VFR UNTIL 16Z TUESDAY. AFTER 16Z, GWO AND
GLH WILL SEE CEILINGS DROP TO MVFR AND IFR AS SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE DAYTIME AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. GLH WILL SEE
A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR BETWEEN 16Z/18Z TUESDAY.
HEZ/JAN/GTR AND POINTS SOUTHEAST WILL SEE CEILINGS DROP TO
MVFR/IFR LATER THIS EVENING. POOR FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD DUE TO MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN. S/SW WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AT TIMES TOMORROW AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO N IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT TUESDAY
NIGHT. MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY WITH
CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO MVFR/VFR AFTER 19Z WEDNESDAY AS CEILINGS
IMPROVE FROM THE WEST. /CR/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 62 36 48 27 / 70 90 0 0
MERIDIAN 65 40 51 25 / 60 100 0 0
VICKSBURG 62 36 48 28 / 90 90 0 0
HATTIESBURG 70 45 56 30 / 20 90 10 0
NATCHEZ 66 38 52 30 / 70 90 0 0
GREENVILLE 54 33 44 26 / 100 40 0 0
GREENWOOD 56 33 44 24 / 100 70 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
CR
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