521
FXUS64 KJAN 031738 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1138 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING
BEFORE DRIER CONDITIONS LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 235 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
NEAR TERM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS OUR
FORECAST AREA TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL HELP BRING IN RAIN CHANCES
LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE EVENING AS IT SWEEPS FROM THE
NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST. A FEW STRONG ISOLATED STORMS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE NORTH WILL PEAK IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. ELSEWHERE, AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20 WILL SEE HIGHS
IN THE LOW TO MID 60S F. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED T-STORMS WILL CONTINUE
LATER TONIGHT AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST,
CLEARING THE PINE BELT PREDAWN WEDNESDAY MORNING. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL DIP INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S F AREAWIDE. /CR/
WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY...
COOLER AND QUIET CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS OUR AREA HEADING
INTO WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE COLD FRONT EXITS OUR CWA.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE 20S F FOR BOTH DAYS WITH HIGHS
PEAKING IN THE 40S F. WE WILL START TO SEE A WARMING TREND START TO
GET GOING ON FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE 60S F AREAWIDE.
WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S F DURING THE DAY
AND UPPER 30S TO 40S F DURING THE NIGHT, THIS FIRST FULL WEEKEND OF
FEBRUARY LOOKS TO BE PLEASANT. LOOKING AHEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
FUTURE GUIDANCE IS STARTING TO SHOW LOW RAIN CHANCES (10% POPS)
GENERALLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA.
OUTSIDE OF THAT, DAYTIME HIGHS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK ARE FORECASTED TO
PEAK IN THE UPPER 60S F TO LOW 70S F UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. /CR/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
SHOWERS ARE SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING BRINGING WITH
THEM A REDUCTION IN CEILINGS TO MOSTLY MVFR/IFR AND INTERMITTENT
REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT, DIMINISHING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AFTER 06Z AND
EXITING THE HBG/PIB AREAS AFTER 12Z. A WIND SHIFT TO NORTHERLY IS
EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PROGRESSION AS IT MOVES SOUTH.
CEILINGS WILL REMAIN MVFR/IFR UNTIL AFTER 16Z WEDNESDAY AS LOW
CLOUDS ARE SLOW TO ERODE. /86/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 62 36 48 26 / 70 100 0 0
MERIDIAN 65 40 51 26 / 60 100 0 0
VICKSBURG 62 35 49 27 / 90 90 0 0
HATTIESBURG 70 46 57 30 / 20 90 20 0
NATCHEZ 66 38 51 28 / 70 100 0 0
GREENVILLE 54 32 44 26 / 100 50 0 0
GREENWOOD 56 33 44 23 / 100 80 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
CR/CR/LP
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