676
FXUS64 KJAN 051738
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1138 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THIS
WEEKEND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
AFTER THIS MORNING'S SUBFREEZING START, THE TREND HEADING INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WILL GENERALLY BE WARMING TEMPERATURES. ON THE
BACK SIDE OF A DEPARTING UPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH, STEEP
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A STRONGER INFLUENCE OF UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FLOW OVER THE CONUS WILL SPLIT,
WITH A CUTOFF LOW FORMING OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO OUR
AREA SATURDAY, BUT TEMPERATURES WILL STILL JUST FALL TO NEAR NORMAL
FOR EARLY FEBRUARY. THEN A QUICK CHANGE TO RETURN FLOW IN THE REGION
SHOULD CAUSE TEMPS TO REBOUND ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.
HIGHS IN THE 70S WILL BE INCREASINGLY COMMON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ONCE
THE CUTOFF LOW TO OUR WEST BREAKS DOWN AND IS ABSORBED BY THE FLOW,
THE SHORTWAVE SHOULD PASS THROUGH OUR REGION TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY TIME
FRAME. SOME PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE REGION, BUT MOISTURE
RECOVERY AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM MAY BE TOO LIMITED TO ALLOW FOR
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR TRENDS IN
TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT KICKS EASTWARD. /NF/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS
WILL BE NORTHWESTERLY EARLY IN THE PERIOD BEFORE SHIFTING AROUND
TO BEING SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND 0Z. WINDS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN
5-10KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. /KP/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 36 69 38 57 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 32 68 36 56 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 37 71 37 57 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 36 72 39 61 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 40 72 40 61 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 37 69 36 51 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 35 68 34 54 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
19/19/KP
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