390
FXUS64 KJAN 071522 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
922 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
..NEW MESOSCALE UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE DRY AND WARM.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 922 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
REST OF TODAY...
QUIET, COOLER AND DRY AFTERNOON WILL BE THE NORM. WEAK DRY
FRONTAL PASSAGE HAS MOVED THROUGH WELL INTO THE GULF, WITH ANOTHER
REINFORCING SHOT OF EVEN DRIER AIR PROGGED TO SINK INTO THE
NORTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE RIDGING WILL KEEP SUNNY
SKIES AND SEASONABLE HIGHS (51F TO 59F NORTHEAST TO 60F TO 66F IN
CENTRAL TO SOUTHWEST) ARE EXPECTED. WITH DRY AIR, SOME MIXING IS
POSSIBLE. EVEN THOUGH THERMAL PROFILES ARE A TOUCH COOLER IN THE
LOW LEVELS, SOME MODERATION IS POSSIBLE, SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY.
LEANED A TOUCH WARMER ON HIGHS IN CENTRAL TO SOUTHWEST ZONES.
UPDATES ARE OUT. /DC/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 330 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
POLAR SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHEAST CONUS IS
BRINGING OUR REGION A TEMPORARY RETURN TO COOLER TEMPERATURES
THIS WEEKEND, AND LOWS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FREEZING
OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE
COOLER AIR WILL MAKE A QUICK EXIT HOWEVER AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS IN FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK. A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH THE MEAN RIDGE POSITION WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING
LIGHT RAINFALL MID WEEK, BUT OTHERWISE, THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL
BRING A LONG DURATION OF WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS. LOOKING AHEAD TO
THE END OF THE WEEK, THE RIDGE SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN AND
ALLOW AN ACTIVE FRONTAL SYSTEM TO IMPACT OUR REGION, BUT THERE IS
A LARGE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH WHERE THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL
SET UP, AND THIS MAKES FORECAST CONFIDENCE QUITE LOW. /EC/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 526 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PERSIST AT AREA TAF SITES OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS TODAY WILL BE FROM THE NORTHEAST BETWEEN 5-10
KNOTS, WITH A SOME HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE AT TIMES. OVERNIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE EAST TO
EAST SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 3-5 KNOTS. /19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 60 35 68 49 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 58 31 65 45 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 60 37 69 50 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 63 35 70 46 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 64 40 70 50 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 55 34 65 49 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 57 35 66 48 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
DC/EC/19
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