276
FXUS64 KJAN 270905
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
305 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLE WARMTH WILL PERSIST FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST.
-SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 252 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
THIS WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE WARM AND COMFORTABLE WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
METEOROLOGICAL IMPACTS TO SPEAK OF, AS THE FRONT CURRENTLY LYING
THROUGH THE AREA CONTINUES TO WASH OUT. THAT DOES MEAN THAT WE
COULD SEE SOME POTENTIAL FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TO DEVELOP,
BUT AT THIS TIME FORECAST VALUES REMAIN BELOW NOTABLE THRESHOLDS.
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY TO SEE SOME
ACTIVITY, EARLY ON IN THE WEEK, BUT GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE
THAT THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE WEEK AND DIFFUSE.
THE NEXT BOUT OF IMPACTFUL WEATHER LOOKS TO START TO DEVELOP LATE
NEXT WEEK AROUND NEXT THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH TROUGHS TRANSITING
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE MORE DOMINANT RIDGING OVER THE AREA.
THIS CONVECTION IS NOT FORECAST TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME, DUE TO
UNFAVORABLE LAPSE RATES. IF THE DOMINATE RIDGE SLIDES MORE
EASTWARD THAN IS CURRENTLY PROJECTED, THESE STORMS COULD IN TURN
BE MUCH STRONGER. THAT SAID THE NEXT REALLY SIGNIFICANT EVENT
APPEARS TO BE A DAY OR TWO AFTER THE FORECAST PERIOD, UP UNTIL
THAT POINT LOOK FORWARD TO ENJOYING A WARM AND DRY END OF FEB AND
BEGINNING OF MARCH. /OAJ/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1123 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
SCATTERED SHRA AND TS ARE ONGOING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
PUSH ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. MOST SITES ARE CURRENTLY
EXPERIENCING VFR CONDITIONS, BUT AN MVFR TO IFR STRATUS DECK IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, CLEARING WITH OR SHORTLY BEHIND THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. THERE IS ALSO SOME POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF
FG UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM MAINLY SOUTHERLY
TO NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONT. BEHIND THE FRONT, VFR CONDITIONS
ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. /DL/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 74 47 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 73 46 76 48 / 10 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 76 48 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 77 50 79 49 / 20 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 77 50 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 73 47 76 51 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 74 47 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
OAJ/OAJ/DL
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