578
FXUS64 KJAN 271125 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
525 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLE WARMTH WILL PERSIST FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 252 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
THIS WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE WARM AND COMFORTABLE WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
METEOROLOGICAL IMPACTS TO SPEAK OF, AS THE FRONT CURRENTLY LYING
THROUGH THE AREA CONTINUES TO WASH OUT. THAT DOES MEAN THAT WE
COULD SEE SOME POTENTIAL FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TO DEVELOP,
BUT AT THIS TIME FORECAST VALUES REMAIN BELOW NOTABLE THRESHOLDS.
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY TO SEE SOME
ACTIVITY, EARLY ON IN THE WEEK, BUT GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE
THAT THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE WEAK AND DIFFUSE.
THE NEXT BOUT OF IMPACTFUL WEATHER LOOKS TO START TO DEVELOP LATE
NEXT WEEK AROUND NEXT THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH TROUGHS TRANSITING
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE MORE DOMINANT RIDGING OVER THE AREA.
THIS CONVECTION IS NOT FORECAST TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME, DUE TO
UNFAVORABLE LAPSE RATES. IF THE DOMINATE RIDGE SLIDES MORE
EASTWARD THAN IS CURRENTLY PROJECTED, THESE STORMS COULD IN TURN
BE MUCH STRONGER. THAT SAID THE NEXT REALLY SIGNIFICANT EVENT
APPEARS TO BE A DAY OR TWO AFTER THE FORECAST PERIOD, UP UNTIL
THAT POINT LOOK FORWARD TO ENJOYING A WARM AND DRY END OF FEB AND
BEGINNING OF MARCH. /OAJ/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 525 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
AN AREA OF SHRA OVER SOUTHEAST MS WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ELSEWHERE, A COMBINATION OF MVFR TO IFR
STRATUS AND LOCALLY DENSE FG ARE REDUCING CATEGORIES AT SEVERAL
SITES. IN MOST AREAS, CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY 14-15Z, BUT LOWER
CEILINGS MAY PERSIST THROUGH LATE MORNING IN A FEW SPOTS.
OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE TAF PERIOD. /DL/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 74 47 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 73 46 76 48 / 10 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 76 48 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 77 50 79 49 / 20 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 77 50 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 73 47 76 51 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 74 47 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR MSZ060.
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR LAZ024-026.
AR...NONE.
OAJ/DL
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