818
FXUS64 KJAN 271720 AAB
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1120 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLE WARMTH WILL PERSIST FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 252 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
THIS WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE WARM AND COMFORTABLE WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
METEOROLOGICAL IMPACTS TO SPEAK OF, AS THE FRONT CURRENTLY LYING
THROUGH THE AREA CONTINUES TO WASH OUT. THAT DOES MEAN THAT WE
COULD SEE SOME POTENTIAL FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TO DEVELOP,
BUT AT THIS TIME FORECAST VALUES REMAIN BELOW NOTABLE THRESHOLDS.
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY TO SEE SOME
ACTIVITY, EARLY ON IN THE WEEK, BUT GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE
THAT THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE WEAK AND DIFFUSE.
THE NEXT BOUT OF IMPACTFUL WEATHER LOOKS TO START TO DEVELOP LATE
NEXT WEEK AROUND NEXT THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH TROUGHS TRANSITING
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE MORE DOMINANT RIDGING OVER THE AREA.
THIS CONVECTION IS NOT FORECAST TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME, DUE TO
UNFAVORABLE LAPSE RATES. IF THE DOMINATE RIDGE SLIDES MORE
EASTWARD THAN IS CURRENTLY PROJECTED, THESE STORMS COULD IN TURN
BE MUCH STRONGER. THAT SAID THE NEXT REALLY SIGNIFICANT EVENT
APPEARS TO BE A DAY OR TWO AFTER THE FORECAST PERIOD, UP UNTIL
THAT POINT LOOK FORWARD TO ENJOYING A WARM AND DRY END OF FEB AND
BEGINNING OF MARCH. /OAJ/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1119 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
THANKS TO SOME LINGERING LOW CLOUDS ACROSS EAST AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING, IN THE WAKE OF THIS MORNING'S FRONTAL
PASSAGE, VFR TO IFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES CURRENTLY EXIST AT AREA TAF
SITES. CEILINGS THERE WILL IMPROVE DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS, WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING AREAWIDE BY MID- AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUING INTO OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WINDS TODAY WILL
GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTHEAST BETWEEN 5-10 KNOTS, WITH A FEW
HIGHER GUSTS AT TIMES. WINDS WILL THEN BECOME LIGHT FROM THE EAST
NORTHEAST TO CALM TONIGHT. /19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 75 47 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 74 46 76 48 / 10 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 77 48 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 77 50 79 49 / 20 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 78 50 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 73 47 76 51 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 75 47 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
19
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