678
FXUS64 KJAN 281734
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1134 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLE WARMTH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.
- AFTER A STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER, CHANCES FOR MAINLY LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS RETURN LATER NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 253 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILD ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN US. EVEN THOUGH WE ARE ONLY ONE DAY INTO A
POSTFRONTAL REGIME, THE DRYNESS OF THIS AIRMASS WILL ALLOW IT TO
WARM EFFICIENTLY WITH HIGH TEMPS APPROACHING 80 TODAY. WITH RHS
DIPPING BELOW 25 PCT IN MANY AREAS TODAY AND FUELS REMAINING DRY
IN SEVERAL AREAS, THIS COULD PRESENT SOME FIRE DANGER THREAT.
HOWEVER, LIGHT WIND SHOULD PRECLUDE A THREAT WORTH HIGHLIGHTING IN
AN OUTLOOK. THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
ESPECIALLY INTO SOUTH MS. FARTHER NORTH INTO AR AND NORTH MS, A
REINFORCING FRONT WILL APPROACH SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, HOLDING
DAYTIME TEMPS STEADY IN THE MID 70S. THIS FRONT WILL STALL BEFORE
BRINGING ANY COOLDOWN, HOWEVER. A FEW SPRINKLES MAY SNEAK INTO
THE ARKLAMISS DELTA SUNDAY MORNING, BUT AMOUNTS WILL BE
NEGLIGIBLE.
AS EAST COAST RIDGING BECOMES MORE STOUT, HIGH TEMPS IN THE 80S
MAY BECOME COMMON AREAWIDE BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER, WITH
THE RIDGE SHIFTING A BIT FURTHER EASTWARD, IT WILL PERMIT THE
RETURN OF LOWER END SHOWER CHANCES. THE CORRIDOR OF HEAVIER
RAINFALL WILL REMAIN NORTHWEST OF OUR AREA FROM NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH THE OZARKS. HOWEVER, SOME LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY AND
PERHAPS A STRAY STORM COULD BEGIN MAKING IT INTO OUR AREA BY
WEDNESDAY. THROUGH FRIDAY, AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN
BELOW A QUARTER INCH. IN FACT, SOME AREAS MAY STILL REMAIN RAIN
FREE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. /DL/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1133 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
VFR PREVAILS WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS.
/SAS/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 50 78 51 78 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 47 78 50 78 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 50 80 51 80 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 49 81 51 82 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 52 81 53 81 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 52 75 52 74 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 52 78 53 77 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
DL/DL/SAS20
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