968
FXUS64 KJAN 220537
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1237 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- QUIET WEATHER AND WARM CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE END OF
NEXT WEEK.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 817 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
OVERALL ANOTHER UNEVENTFUL NIGHT IS IN STORE FOR US TONIGHT. LOWS
IN THE HIGH 50S TO LOW 60S TOMORROW MORNING. FOLKS IN THE JACKSON
AREA MAY HAVE NOTICED IT GETTING FAIRLY SMOKEY AROUND SUNSET. THIS
IS FROM A RATHER LARGE DUST PLUME THAT MANAGED TO WORK ITS WAY
ALL THE WAY FROM THE HOMOCHITTO AREA; FROM A PRESCRIBED BURN THAT
STARTED AT 2PM TODAY. SMOKE SHOULD ALREADY BE CLEARING OUT BY
8:30PM SO THERE SHOULD BE NO CAUSE FOR CONCERN./OAJ/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 147 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
THROUGH SUNDAY: CONTINUED WARMER THAN NORMAL AND DRY THROUGH SUNDAY.
OUR CWA WILL REMAIN ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A LARGE MID LEVEL
HIGH THAT WILL SLOWLY FLATTEN THROUGH SUNDAY. THE 1018MB SURFACE
HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT EAST
THROUGH SUNDAY BUT CONTINUE TO PROVIDE AND WARM MOIST LOW LEVEL FLOW
ACROSS OUR CWA. DAYTIME HEATING WILL LEAD TO A FEW WIND GUSTS
TOMORROW. THIS WIND ALONG WITH THE RIDGING SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL
HELP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TOP OUT A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN
TODAY. MORNING LOWS SUNDAY WILL BE WARMER THAN NORMAL AS WELL.
/22/
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY:
QUIET CONDITIONS WITH A BRIEF COOLDOWN (HIGHS: 70S/LOWS: 50/60) WILL
CLOSE OUT THE WEEKEND. A DRY, FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE RESPONSIBLE
FOR THE SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY BEFORE
REBOUNDING TO ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
SURFACE RIDGING WILL BUILD IN POST FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE THE
DOMINANT FEATURE OVER REMAINING PART OF THE WEEK. LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE HAVE BACKED OFF A SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE TRAVERSING THROUGH
NORTHEAST MS, THUS DROPPING RAIN CHANCES BELOW 15% FOR TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. WARM CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY RETURN AS HIGHS
RANGE IN THE 80S TO CLOSE OUT THE WORK WEEK. HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND, ANOTHER DRY FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA, SLIGHTLY
REDUCING TEMP INTO THE 60S AND 70S FOR THE WEEKEND. /SW/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1237 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
AS OF 0537Z, ALL TAF SITES ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING VFR
CONDITIONS. NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SITES WILL SEE VFR CEILINGS
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOUTHERN SITES WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH 09Z. AFTER 09Z, CONDITIONS WILL DROP DOWN TO MVFR/IFR
BETWEEN 10Z/14Z SUNDAY. AFTER 14Z, SOUTHERN TAF SITES WILL SEE
CEILINGS IMPROVE TO VFR. WINDS WILL INCREASE ALONG NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL SITES LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF AROUND 20-25 KTS.
WIND WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE BY 01Z MONDAY. /CR/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 60 81 57 80 / 0 0 0 10
MERIDIAN 59 83 55 79 / 0 0 0 10
VICKSBURG 59 81 57 81 / 0 0 0 10
HATTIESBURG 58 84 58 84 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 60 83 59 83 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 60 73 55 74 / 0 0 0 10
GREENWOOD 62 78 55 76 / 0 0 0 10
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
22/SW/CR
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