707
FXUS64 KJAN 230612 AAC
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
112 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 154 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
THROUGH MONDAY: LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS HAD A CENTER OF HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO FEATURES WAS HELPING RESULT IN A WARM
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WIND THIS AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT WILL LOSE ITS
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND SLOWLY MOVE INTO OUR NORTHWEST ZONES TONIGHT
AS A DRY COLD FRONT. BY SUNRISE THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE
JUST SOUTH OF OUR HIGHWAY 82 ZONES AND THEN JUST PUSH SOUTHEAST OF
OUR SOUTHEAST MOST ZONES BY SUNSET. THE COOLER AIR IN THE WAKE OF
THE COLD FRONT WILL HOLD OUR NORTH AND CENTRAL ZONES IN THE 70S
WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA WARMS IN THE 80S AGAIN AHEAD OF THE
FROPA. DESPITE THE COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTH MONDAY, WARMER
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. /22/
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY:
PERSISTENT WARM AND QUIET CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. A WEAK SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE WILL SWING EAST OF THE
CWA ON TUESDAY, BRINGING AN ISOLATED SHOWER (<= 15% POPS) CHANCES
OVER NORTHEAST MS. SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL KEEP
HIGH/LOW TEMPS NEAR TO ABOVE AVERAGE AS THE WEEK PROGRESS. A DRY
FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY, RESULTING IN
AVERAGE TEMPS FOR THE WEEKEND. /SW/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 109 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS TO START THE PERIOD AT ALL TAF SITES. WIND SHIFT TO
NORTHERLY WINDS IS THE MAIN CONCERN FOR MOST SITES, BUT LOW
STRATUS COULD DEVELOP MVFR CEILINGS AT SITES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
20 BEFORE THE WIND SHIFT ARRIVES. /NF/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 55 78 58 83 / 0 10 10 10
MERIDIAN 53 78 56 80 / 0 0 10 10
VICKSBURG 55 80 58 85 / 0 0 0 10
HATTIESBURG 57 81 58 84 / 0 0 10 10
NATCHEZ 57 82 60 85 / 0 0 0 10
GREENVILLE 51 72 56 82 / 0 10 0 0
GREENWOOD 53 74 58 83 / 0 10 10 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
22/SW/NF
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