353
FXUS64 KJAN 231454 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
954 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
..NEW MESOSCALE UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 947 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS HAD A DRY COLD FRONT DRIFTING JUST SOUTH
OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR. THIS COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG
THROUGH THE CWA TODAY BRINGING IN COOLER AND DRIER AIR. THIS WILL
RESULT IN HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S NORTHWEST
TO THE LOWER 80S SOUTH. /22/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 154 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
THROUGH MONDAY: LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS HAD A CENTER OF HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO FEATURES WAS HELPING RESULT IN A WARM
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WIND THIS AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT WILL LOSE ITS
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND SLOWLY MOVE INTO OUR NORTHWEST ZONES TONIGHT
AS A DRY COLD FRONT. BY SUNRISE THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE
JUST SOUTH OF OUR HIGHWAY 82 ZONES AND THEN JUST PUSH SOUTHEAST OF
OUR SOUTHEAST MOST ZONES BY SUNSET. THE COOLER AIR IN THE WAKE OF
THE COLD FRONT WILL HOLD OUR NORTH AND CENTRAL ZONES IN THE 70S
WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA WARMS IN THE 80S AGAIN AHEAD OF THE
FROPA. DESPITE THE COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTH MONDAY, WARMER
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. /22/
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY:
PERSISTENT WARM AND QUIET CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. A WEAK SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE WILL SWING EAST OF THE
CWA ON TUESDAY, BRINGING AN ISOLATED SHOWER (<= 15% POPS) CHANCES
OVER NORTHEAST MS. SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL KEEP
HIGH/LOW TEMPS NEAR TO ABOVE AVERAGE AS THE WEEK PROGRESS. A DRY
FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY, RESULTING IN
AVERAGE TEMPS FOR THE WEEKEND. /SW/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 109 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS TO START THE PERIOD AT ALL TAF SITES. WIND SHIFT TO
NORTHERLY WINDS IS THE MAIN CONCERN FOR MOST SITES, BUT LOW
STRATUS COULD DEVELOP MVFR CEILINGS AT SITES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
20 BEFORE THE WIND SHIFT ARRIVES. /NF/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 77 53 76 57 / 10 0 0 10
MERIDIAN 78 51 76 55 / 10 0 0 20
VICKSBURG 76 53 77 57 / 10 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 83 55 81 58 / 0 0 0 10
NATCHEZ 81 56 80 60 / 10 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 69 50 67 53 / 0 10 10 0
GREENWOOD 74 51 71 55 / 0 10 10 10
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
22/SW/NF
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