695
FXUS64 KJAN 241753 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1253 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT THIS WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 405 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026
THE WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH
THE WEEK AHEAD. THIS MORNING IS A PERFECT EXAMPLE OF WHAT WE WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE NEARBY. WITH ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE IN PLACE
(PWAT VALUES OF 1.5-2.0 INCHES) AND UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING
AFFECTING THE REGION, ONE REMNANT MCV FROM YESTERDAY'S CONVECTION
HAS DECAYED AND DRIFTED INTO NORTH MISSISSIPPI WHILE A SECOND MCV
DEVELOPED FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION ALONG THE GULF COAST AND IS
SPINNING NOTICEABLY IN REGIONAL SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY OVER
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. THIS SECOND SYSTEM WILL STEER NORTHEAST
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY, BUT THE
PATTERN COULD SEE OTHER CONVECTION DEVELOP AND ORGANIZE IN A
SIMILAR FASHION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AN APPRECIABLE CHANGE
TO THE FORECAST REALLY WON'T BE FELT UNTIL JUST AFTER THE CURRENT
7-DAY FORECAST PERIOD. EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE PATTERN MAY SHIFT
ENOUGH TO ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO PUSH SOUTH (WITH DRIER AIR)
TOWARD OUR REGION. /NF/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THIS AFTN AWAY FROM
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA THAT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
THE AREA BY 21Z AND CONTINUE THROUGH 02Z. VFR CONDITIONS WL
PREVAIL THIS EVENING AND UNTIL AFTER 08Z WHEN MVFR/IFR CIGS WL
DEVELOP AND PREVAIL UNTIL IMPROVING CLOSE TO THE END OF THE TAF
PERIOD. /22/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 67 82 68 83 / 50 60 50 70
MERIDIAN 67 81 69 82 / 50 70 60 90
VICKSBURG 67 83 68 84 / 40 50 50 70
HATTIESBURG 68 81 70 82 / 50 70 60 90
NATCHEZ 68 84 68 84 / 40 50 40 70
GREENVILLE 67 82 68 83 / 40 40 60 60
GREENWOOD 67 83 68 84 / 40 50 40 70
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
/NF/22
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