037
FXUS64 KJAN 230555 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1255 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- LIMITED THREAT OF DANGEROUS HEAT STRESS CONTINUES TODAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 300 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
FOR THIS AFTERNOON, WE ARE MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH IS
CURRENTLY PUSHING INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
OVERALL, THE LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT AS FAVORABLE TODAY
FOR SEVERE MICROBURSTS WITH DAMAGING WINDS, SO EXPECT LESS
COVERAGE OF INTENSE CONVECTION AS WE GO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE DAY. THE OFFICIAL BEGINNING OF FALL ON THE CALENDAR IS TODAY,
AND THIS JUST HAPPENS TO COINCIDE WITH WHAT WILL HOPEFULLY BE
THIS YEAR'S LAST EPISODE OF "DANGEROUS HEAT" IN OUR AREA. WHILE
CONDITIONS WILL NOT REMIND ONE OF FALL, WE CAN AT LEAST EXPECT
WHAT WOULD BE CONSIDERED MORE TYPICAL OF SEPTEMBER.
LOOKING AHEAD FOR LATE THIS WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND, DRIER
AND "LESS HOT" CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. THEN BY THE TIME WE GET
TO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, THERE MAY BE A MORE SIGNICANT FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT PUSHES SLOWLY INTO OUR REGION WITH SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE AND ASCENT FOR GREATER RAIN CHANCES. /EC/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1253 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2026
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE PERIOD AT ALL SITES IS
EXPECTED TODAY. CALM AND NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT
THE PERIOD. A HIGH LAYER OF THIN CIRRUS WILL BE FOUND OVER MOST
THE AREA TODAY, FEW250 WAS ADDED TO REFLECT THOSE CONDITIONS./OAJ/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 94 68 91 66 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 93 68 90 65 / 0 0 10 0
VICKSBURG 94 67 90 66 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 95 70 93 67 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 95 69 92 67 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 92 65 89 64 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 93 64 91 63 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
EC/EC/OAJ
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