233
FXUS64 KJAN 101848
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
148 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- STRONG, GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.
- GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RAISE FIRE DANGER
CONCERNS IN THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 146 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
THROUGH SUNDAY: AS THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS CONTINUES LIFTING AWAY
FROM THE CWA, THE DRIER AIR WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM WILL END THE
RAINFALL EARLY THIS EVENING AND THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. THUS, THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE. A SURFACE HIGH WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST AS A RIDGE ALOFT MOVES INTO OUR REGION FROM THE WEST. THIS
WILL LEAD TO WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH THE WARMEST
TEMPERATURES IN THE WEST. TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S WILL LEAD TO
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AGAIN BUT THE WIND WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER AND
MITIGATE FIRE DANGER CONCERNS. /22/
SUNDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY:
UPPER-LVL HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS AND SLOWLY MOVE
EASTWARD OVER THE PERIOD. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE
WEEK AS RH VALUES FALL TO THE UPPER 20S-30% NEAR THE MS DELTA AND
WEST OF I-55 SUNDAY AND MONDAY RESULTING IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TO
OVER THOSE DAYS. RH'S ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ABOVE 30% OVER THE
WEEK BUT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. HIGHS/LOWS TEMPS WILL REMAIN
WELL ABOVE-AVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH INTO THE AREA INTO THE WEEKEND, DROPPING TEMPS CLOSER TO
SEASONAL AVERAGES. /SW/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1253 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
MVFR CIGS WL CONTINUE IN THE NE AND EAST BEFORE IMPROVING BY 00Z
SUN. THE GUSTY N-NE WIND TO 30KTS WL CONTINUE THIS AFTN BEFORE
SUBSIDING BY 00Z AS WELL. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AREAWIDE
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. /22/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 59 91 62 93 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 57 87 60 92 / 10 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 58 93 62 93 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 58 91 61 93 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 60 91 63 93 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 58 92 63 93 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 56 91 62 93 / 10 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-025>066-
072>074.
LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ009-016-025-026.
AR...NONE.
22/SW/22
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