998
FXUS64 KJAN 160609
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
109 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY.
- A SIGNIFICANT DRY COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS,
WORSENED FIRE DANGER AND WILDFIRE CONCERNS TO THE AREA TOMORROW.
- VERY LITTLE, IF ANY, RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1227 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS IS POISED TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION TODAY AND THIS WILL DRAG A STRONG COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WITH LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH, THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE DRY WITH THE MAIN EFFECT BEING GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS. THE MAIN CONCERN TODAY WILL BE THE VERY DRY
CONDITIONS THAT PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA COMBINED WITH THE GUSTY
WINDS. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN AFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THE GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY AND
ALONG WITH MIN RH'S IN THE LOW TO MID 30 PERCENT RANGE A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THE DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PERIOD AND WITH MIN RH'S IN THE UPPER 20 PERCENT RANGE
ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY, AT LEAST A LIMITED FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF NEXT
WEEK./15/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 642 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE MOST PART. THE EXCEPTION WILL
BE WITH IFR/LIFR FOG POTENTIAL MAINLY IN THE LOWER PINE BELT
REGION. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE ENTIRE
AREA FRIDAY, REACHING THE HBG/PIB AREA BY AROUND 20-21Z. WIND
FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL PICK UP QUICKLY AND BECOME
GUSTY FROM THE NNW, SHRA ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED. /EC/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 81 50 71 45 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 85 48 69 44 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 78 49 71 44 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 90 51 73 46 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 80 50 71 46 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 70 48 69 44 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 73 48 70 42 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074.
LA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.
AR...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR ARZ074-075.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.
19/
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