700
WTUS82 KJAX 090331
HLSJAX
FLZ021-023-024-030-031-033-035-038-120-124-125-132-133-136>138-140-220-225-232-236-237-240-322-325-340-422-425-522-GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364-091145-
HURRICANE MILTON LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL AL142024
1131 PM EDT TUE OCT 8 2024
THIS PRODUCT COVERS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
**SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE MILTON EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- NONE
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A STORM SURGE WARNING AND HURRICANE WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
COASTAL FLAGLER, COASTAL ST. JOHNS, EASTERN PUTNAM, AND INLAND
ST. JOHNS
- A STORM SURGE WARNING, TROPICAL STORM WARNING, AND HURRICANE
WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL DUVAL, COASTAL NASSAU, EASTERN
CLAY, AND SOUTH CENTRAL DUVAL
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
INLAND NASSAU, TROUT RIVER, WESTERN CLAY, AND WESTERN DUVAL
- A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL MARION, EASTERN
MARION, INLAND FLAGLER, WESTERN MARION, AND WESTERN PUTNAM
- A STORM SURGE WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT
FOR COASTAL CAMDEN AND COASTAL GLYNN
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAKER, BRADFORD,
EASTERN ALACHUA, GILCHRIST, NORTHERN COLUMBIA, SOUTHEASTERN
COLUMBIA, SOUTHWESTERN COLUMBIA, SUWANNEE, UNION, AND WESTERN
ALACHUA
- A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BRANTLEY, EASTERN
HAMILTON, INLAND CAMDEN, INLAND GLYNN, NORTHEASTERN CHARLTON,
WAYNE, WESTERN CHARLTON, AND WESTERN HAMILTON
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 570 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JACKSONVILLE FL OR ABOUT 480 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF OCALA FL
- 23.4N 86.5W
- STORM INTENSITY 160 MPH
- MOVEMENT NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
HURRICANE MILTON REMAINS A VERY POWERFUL HURRICANE AT CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH
AND IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY. MILTON WILL MAINTAIN
HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, CREATING DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE
IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY ACROSS EASTERN PARTS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
AND GUSTS ARE LIKELY FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA COAST, WITH FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE COAST AND ST. JOHNS RIVER BASIN REGION.
LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE INUNDATION OF UP TO 3 TO 5 FEET IS EXPECTED
ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ATLANTIC COASTS AND
AROUND 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN. IN ADDITION, VERY LARGE
AND BATTERING WAVES ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BEACH
EROSION AND LIKELY TO DAMAGE TO PIERS AND SOME COASTAL STRUCTURES.
ELEVATED WATER LEVELS ARE LIKELY ON FRIDAY ALONG THE NORTHEAST FL AND
SOUTHEAST GA COAST. AT LEAST MINOR WATER LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE
IN THE ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN ON FRIDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEK DUE TO UPSTREAM
RAINFALL, WITH COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES OR COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS POSSIBLY
BEING NEEDED.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE OUTER RAINBANDS FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA,
INCLUDING MARION, PUTNAM, FLAGLER, AND ST. JOHNS COUNTIES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE MAINLY IN MARION, PUTNAM, FLAGLER, AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES. THE
REST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA WILL SEE RAINFALL TOTALS GENERALLY 2 TO
6 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AS WELL. OVERALL, FORECAST RAINFALL
AMOUNTS HAVE DECREASED SINCE YESTERDAY. BUT, WITH ALREADY SATURATED
GROUNDS, FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
NOW IS THE TIME TO FINISH STOCKING YOUR HURRICANE SUPPLY KIT AND
MAKING SURE YOUR SAFETY PLAN IS IN PLACE. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL
OFFICIALS WITH RECOMMENDED EVACUATION AND OR SHELTERING ACTIONS FOR
THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS, IN MOBILE HOMES OR ON THE BARRIER
ISLANDS.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST, NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA, AND
THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS
EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE
HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
- SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER
NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL
FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.
ALSO, PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS ALONG THE ENTIRE COAST FROM NORTHEAST FLORIDA TO
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
SPOTS.
- MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
- MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.
* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
DEVASTATING IMPACTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA SOUTHEAST OF
A LINE FROM AROUND PONTE VEDRA BEACH TO GAINESVILLE FL. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- EXTREME RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT NUMEROUS EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY OVERWHELMINGLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS
IN MANY PLACES WITH DEEP MOVING WATER. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS,
CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME RAGING RIVERS. FLOOD CONTROL
SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER NUMEROUS STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
AWAY. NUMEROUS PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE
ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF RAGING WATER
WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME VERY
DANGEROUS. NUMEROUS ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED
OR WASHED OUT.
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS WELL INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA INTO COASTAL
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND EMERGENCY SUPPLIES
KIT AND TAKE NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT YOUR FAMILY AND SECURE YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS.
WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK SINCE HAZARDS SUCH AS FLOODING RAIN, DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS, STORM SURGE, AND TORNADOES EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE
CENTER OF THE STORM.
IF IN A PLACE THAT IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WIND, SUCH AS NEAR LARGE
TREES, A MANUFACTURED HOME, UPPER FLOORS OF A HIGH-RISE BUILDING, OR
ON A BOAT, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER.
IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN OR A LARGE INLAND LAKE, IN A LOW-LYING OR POOR
DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY, OR NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO
MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.
ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ORDERS THAT
ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES OF
OTHERS.
WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONCLUDED
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF
STRONG GUSTY WINDS OR FLOODING CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.
BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR INTENTIONS FOR
WEATHERING THE STORM AND YOUR WHEREABOUTS. HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY
FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE AS YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL
CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS. KEEP CELL PHONES HANDY AND CHARGED.
CHECK ON THOSE WHO MAY NOT BE FULLY AWARE OF THE SITUATION OR WHO ARE
UNABLE TO MAKE PERSONAL PREPARATIONS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH
YOU ARE LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND
WARNINGS. IF STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR
ONSITE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY
PERTAINING TO AREA VISITORS.
CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER.GOV, NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES
TO THE FORECAST.
THERE IS A THREAT FROM TORNADOES WITH THIS STORM. HAVE MULTIPLE WAYS
TO RECEIVE TORNADO WARNINGS. BE READY TO SHELTER QUICKLY.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE FL AROUND 530 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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