673
WTUS82 KJAX 100325
HLSJAX
FLZ021-023-024-030-031-033-035-038-120-124-125-132-133-136>138-140-220-225-232-236-237-240-322-325-340-422-425-522-GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364-101145-
HURRICANE MILTON LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL AL142024
1125 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2024
THIS PRODUCT COVERS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
**SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE MILTON EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- NONE
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A STORM SURGE WARNING AND HURRICANE WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
COASTAL FLAGLER, COASTAL ST. JOHNS, EASTERN PUTNAM, AND INLAND
ST. JOHNS
- A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL MARION, EASTERN
MARION, INLAND FLAGLER, WESTERN MARION, AND WESTERN PUTNAM
- A STORM SURGE WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT
FOR COASTAL CAMDEN, COASTAL DUVAL, COASTAL GLYNN, COASTAL
NASSAU, EASTERN CLAY, AND SOUTH CENTRAL DUVAL
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAKER, BRADFORD,
EASTERN ALACHUA, GILCHRIST, INLAND CAMDEN, INLAND GLYNN, INLAND
NASSAU, NORTHERN COLUMBIA, SOUTHEASTERN COLUMBIA, SOUTHWESTERN
COLUMBIA, SUWANNEE, TROUT RIVER, UNION, WESTERN ALACHUA,
WESTERN CLAY, AND WESTERN DUVAL
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF JACKSONVILLE FL OR ABOUT 110 MILES
SOUTH OF OCALA FL
- 27.6N 82.0W
- STORM INTENSITY 105 MPH
- MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
HURRICANE MILTON REMAINS VERY STRONG AT CATEGORY 2 STRENGTH ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE, MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 16 MPH AND MADE
LANDFALL JUST AFTER SUNSET NEAR SIESTA KEY ON THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA. MILTON WILL MAINTAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES EAST
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING, CREATING DANGEROUS CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE ONGOING ALONG THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST AND WILL SPREAD NORTH ONTO THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST
LATE THIS EVENING WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FORECAST
FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST BY EARLY MORNING
THURSDAY WITH FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND ST. JOHNS RIVER BASIN REGION.
STORM SURGE INUNDATION OF UP TO 3 TO 5 FEET IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ATLANTIC COASTS AND AROUND
2 TO 4 FEET IN THE ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE OUTER RAINBANDS FROM LATE
THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
FLORIDA, INCLUDING MARION, PUTNAM, FLAGLER, AND ST. JOHNS COUNTIES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE MAINLY IN MARION, PUTNAM, FLAGLER, AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES. THE
REST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA WILL SEE RAINFALL TOTALS GENERALLY 2 TO
6 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AS WELL. WITH ALREADY SATURATED
GROUNDS, FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST
FLORIDA BEGINNING LATER TODAY.
NOW IS THE TIME TO STAY IN YOUR SHELTER OR SAFE LOCATION WITH YOUR
SAFETY PLAN IN PLACE. BE SURE YOU HAVE A WAY TO GET WEATHER ALERTS AND
FORECAST UPDATES. KEEP IN MIND THAT IMPACTS CAN BE FELT FAR FROM THE
COAST. LISTEN TO LOCAL OFFICIALS AND AVOID TRAVEL UNLESS ORDERED TO
EVACUATE.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST, NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA, AND THE SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA COAST. REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM DANGEROUS WIND HAVING
POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS
EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE
HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
- SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER
NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL
FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE ALSO NOW UNFOLDING
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST
FROM ST AUGUSTINE SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM
HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, LITTLE TO
NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.
* FLOODING RAIN:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE FLOODING RAIN ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM AROUND ST
AUGUSTINE TO OCALA FL. REMAIN WELL GUARDED AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING
FLOOD WATERS HAVING POSSIBLE DEVASTATING IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- EXTREME RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT NUMEROUS EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY OVERWHELMINGLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS
IN MANY PLACES WITH DEEP MOVING WATER. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS,
CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME RAGING RIVERS. FLOOD CONTROL
SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER NUMEROUS STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
AWAY. NUMEROUS PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE
ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF RAGING WATER
WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME VERY
DANGEROUS. NUMEROUS ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED
OR WASHED OUT.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE FLOODING RAIN ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST
FROM ST AUGUSTINE SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN
ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN. REMAIN WELL GUARDED AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING
FLOOD WATERS HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED TO EXTENSIVE IMPACTS.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, LITTLE TO
NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.
* SURGE:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
ALONG THE ENTIRE COAST FROM NORTHEAST FLORIDA TO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
THE ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN. REMAIN WELL AWAY FROM LIFE-THREATENING
SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
- AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
SPOTS.
- MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
- MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.
* TORNADOES:
PREPARE FOR A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS MARION,
PUTNAM, FLAGLER, AND ST. JOHNS COUNTIES LATE THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY.
REMAIN WELL BRACED AGAINST A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS.
IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
- A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER
AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
- LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS
TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED,
LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES
KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS
PULLED FROM MOORINGS.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, LITTLE TO
NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LISTEN FOR
UPDATES AND BE READY IN CASE YOU LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER. KEEP A
BATTERY-POWERED RADIO, CHARGED CELL PHONE AND FLASHLIGHT HANDY.
DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM BE READY TO MOVE QUICKLY. KEEP YOUR
SHOES ON AND RAIN GEAR HANDY. BOOTS AND ATHLETIC SHOES OFFER THE BEST
FOOT PROTECTION IF YOU BECOME UNEXPECTEDLY EXPOSED TO THE WEATHER.
KEEP YOUR CELL PHONE CHARGED AND IN POWER-SAVING MODE. IF YOU LOSE
POWER, USE IT SPARINGLY AND MAINLY FOR PERSONAL EMERGENCIES AND
CHECK-INS.
DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE WHILE IN THE EYE OF A HURRICANE AS ANY
IMPROVEMENT IN WEATHER WILL ONLY BE TEMPORARY. ONCE THE EYE PASSES,
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME LIFE THREATENING AS WINDS IMMEDIATELY RETURN
TO DANGEROUS SPEEDS, SO REMAIN SAFELY SHELTERED FROM THE STORM.
DO NOT BE A THRILL SEEKER OR RISK YOUR LIFE FOR SENSELESS PHOTOS OR
VIDEOS.
QUICKLY MOVE TO THE SAFEST PLACE WITHIN YOUR SHELTER IF IT BEGINS TO
FAIL, PREFERABLY AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AS LONG AS
FLOODING IS NOT A CONCERN.
IF YOU ARE PRONE TO FLOODING OR IN AN AREA UNDER A STORM SURGE WATCH
OR WARNING, BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A QUICK AND DRAMATIC
RISE IN WATER LEVELS.
IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA, QUICKLY MOVE TO THE
SAFEST PLACE WITHIN YOUR SHELTER. PROTECT YOUR HEAD AND BODY.
IF AN EXTREME WIND WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA, MOVE TO THE
SAFEST PLACE WITHIN YOUR SHELTER. TAKE THE SAME LIFE-SAVING ACTIONS
AS IF IT WERE A VIOLENT TORNADO.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE FL AROUND 5 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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