052
WTUS82 KJAX 101504
HLSJAX
FLZ021-023-024-030-031-033-035-038-120-124-125-132-133-136>138-140-220-225-232-236-237-240-322-325-340-422-425-522-GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364-102300-
HURRICANE MILTON LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL AL142024
1104 AM EDT THU OCT 10 2024
THIS PRODUCT COVERS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
** STORM SURGE AND WIND IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE MILTON CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING **
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- NONE
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A STORM SURGE WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT
FOR COASTAL CAMDEN, COASTAL DUVAL, COASTAL FLAGLER, COASTAL
GLYNN, COASTAL NASSAU, COASTAL ST. JOHNS, EASTERN CLAY, EASTERN
PUTNAM, INLAND ST. JOHNS, AND SOUTH CENTRAL DUVAL
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND CAMDEN, INLAND
FLAGLER, INLAND GLYNN, INLAND NASSAU, TROUT RIVER, WESTERN
CLAY, WESTERN DUVAL, AND WESTERN PUTNAM
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FL OR ABOUT 160
MILES EAST OF FLAGLER BEACH FL
- 29.1N 78.5W
- STORM INTENSITY 80 MPH
- MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 20 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
MILTON REMAINS A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE
AS IT ACCELERATES EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF STREAM WATERS
ADJACENT TO THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST. MILTON WILL CONTINUE
ACCELERATING OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN MILTON AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH KEEPING DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ONGOING ACROSS COASTAL
NORTHEAST FLORIDA, ALONG THE ST. JOHNS RIVER, AND ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA COAST. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND
SUNSET ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT AND ALONG THE ST. JOHNS RIVER
BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
STORM SURGE INUNDATION OF UP TO 3 TO 5 FEET IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ATLANTIC COASTS AND AROUND
2 TO 4 FEET IN THE ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS ALSO ONGOING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ST. JOHNS
RIVER BASIN AND ITS TRIBUTARIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA. REMEMBER TO
"TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN" IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY OR
INTERSECTION. NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
SUNSET FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL COUNTIES. WITH ALREADY
SATURATED GROUNDS AN GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING, THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL
DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES WILL CONTINUE FOR LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
STAY IN YOUR SHELTER OR SAFE LOCATION WITH YOUR SAFETY PLAN IN PLACE.
BE SURE YOU HAVE A WAY TO GET WEATHER ALERTS AND FORECAST UPDATES.
KEEP IN MIND THAT IMPACTS CAN BE FELT FAR FROM THE COAST. LISTEN TO
LOCAL OFFICIALS FOR NOTIFICATIONS ON THE STATUS OF ONGOING EVACUATION
ORDERS.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM
HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING ADDITIONAL LIMITED IMPACTS. IF
REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
- MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE
SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.
* SURGE:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
COASTAL SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, COASTAL NORTHEAST FLORIDA, AND WITHIN THE
ST. JOHNS RIVER BASIN AND ITS TRIBUTARIES. REMAIN WELL AWAY FROM
LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS. IF
REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
SPOTS.
- MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
- MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.
* FLOODING RAIN:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE FLOODING RAIN ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA. REMAIN WELL GUARDED AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS FLOOD
WATERS HAVING ADDITIONAL LIMITED IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY
VULNERABLE SPOTS. A FEW PLACES WHERE RAPID PONDING OF WATER
OCCURS AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SEVERAL STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME
NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE
CLOSURES.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, LITTLE TO
NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
DO NOT BE A THRILL SEEKER OR RISK YOUR LIFE FOR SENSELESS PHOTOS OR
VIDEOS.
IF YOU ARE PRONE TO FLOODING OR IN AN AREA UNDER A STORM SURGE WATCH
OR WARNING, BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A QUICK AND DRAMATIC
RISE IN WATER LEVELS.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE FL AROUND 6 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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