810
FNUS72 KJAX 301237
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFORD BAY (45)...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
837 AM EDT MON JUN 30 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES FORECAST ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON
DISCUSSION
NUMEROUS MAINLY LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP NEAR THE WILDFIRE BOTH TODAY AND TUESDAY, WITH
RAINFALL COVERAGE POSSIBLE EARLIER IN THE AFTERNOON ON
WEDNESDAY. BRIEFLY GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES,
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH STRONGER STORMS THAT
MAY IMPACT THE WILDFIRE SITE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWESTERLY
SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY INCREASE AS
THE DAY PROGRESSES, KEEPING DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES IN THE
FAIR RANGE TODAY. SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BECOME
BREEZY BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY, AND THESE
WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS TO CREATE
HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS
BEFORE THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN DEVELOPING NEAR THE SITE. BREEZY
SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY,
CREATING GOOD TO MARGINALLY HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES.
REST OF TODAY
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........37 40 47 61 76 90 92 95 96
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 30 40 60 70 70 80 80
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 30 30 30 70 70 80 80
TEMP............76 80 83 85 87 87 85 87 84
RH..............94 82 74 70 65 65 65 65 70
HEAT INDEX (F)..78 85 90 94 94 94 93 91 90
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.4 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.2 3.7 3.3 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 9 10 12 12
DISPERSION IDX..15 25 30 35 40 45 45 45 40
LVORI...........5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3
TONIGHT
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........82 68 56 44 37 29 25 25 26 27 32 29
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........LKY CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 30 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).60 50 30 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............83 82 78 76 74 73 72 72 71 71 71 71
RH..............70 75 85 87 93 93 100 97 97 97 97 93
HEAT INDEX (F)..86 85 78 76 74 73 72 72 72 72 71 71
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 8 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 9 9
DISPERSION IDX..35 25 10 7 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 6 8 7 8 8 8 7
TUESDAY
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........29 29 24 38 41 43 48 53 58 59 60 61
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 80 80 80 80
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 80 80 80 80
TEMP............70 69 72 76 80 83 85 85 85 85 84 83
RH..............97 100 100 94 82 72 67 67 67 67 67 70
HEAT INDEX (F)..71 72 73 76 79 87 90 93 93 93 93 91
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 10 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.1 1.9 2.8 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17
DISPERSION IDX..4 5 20 35 50 65 75 85 90 95 95 90
LVORI...........8 8 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 2 2
FORECASTER...NELSON
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WORK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516862.2/JAX
.DELDT 06/30/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SIERRA.BLACKWELL@FDACS.GOV,MICHAEL.WORK@FDACS.GOV,SEAN.DOWIE@FDACS.GOV,MATTHEW.KLINDT@FDACS.GOV
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