007  
FNUS72 KJAX 301347  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILLIARD WILDFIRE...FHP  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
947 AM EDT MON JUN 30 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JUNE 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES FORECAST ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NUMEROUS MAINLY LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP NEAR THE WILDFIRE BOTH TODAY AND TUESDAY, WITH  
RAINFALL COVERAGE POSSIBLE EARLIER IN THE AFTERNOON ON  
WEDNESDAY. BRIEFLY GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES,  
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH STRONGER STORMS THAT  
MAY IMPACT THE WILDFIRE SITE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. LOW CLOUDS  
AND PATCHY FOG FORMATION WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE WILDFIRE  
SITE DURING THE PREDAWN AND EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY  
AND WEDNESDAY. DENSE FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED, AND LOW CLOUDS  
SHOULD DISSIPATE BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS BOTH DAYS.  
 
SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY  
INCREASE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES TODAY, KEEPING DAYTIME DISPERSION  
VALUES IN THE FAIR RANGE. SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL  
BECOME BREEZY BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY, AND  
THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS TO CREATE  
HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS  
BEFORE THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN DEVELOPING NEAR THE SITE. BREEZY  
SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY,  
CREATING GOOD TO MARGINALLY HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 46 61 75 90 92 95 96  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 40 60 70 70 80 80  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 30 30 30 70 70 80 80  
TEMP............81 83 85 86 87 86 87 84  
RH..............79 74 70 65 65 65 65 70  
HEAT INDEX (F)..86 90 94 94 94 93 91 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 6 6 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 8 9 9 9 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.3 3.8 3.3 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 9 10 12 12  
DISPERSION IDX..25 30 35 40 45 45 45 40  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........81 67 55 44 36 28 25 25 26 27 31 28  
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY CHC CHC SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 30 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).60 50 30 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............83 82 78 76 74 73 72 72 71 71 71 71  
RH..............70 75 80 85 93 97 100 97 97 97 97 93  
HEAT INDEX (F)..86 85 78 76 74 73 72 72 72 71 70 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 8 7 5 5 6 6 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 9 9  
DISPERSION IDX..35 25 10 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4  
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 7  
   
TUESDAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 29 25 37 40 43 47 52 56 58 59 61  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF  
TEMP............70 69 72 76 80 83 85 86 86 85 84 83  
RH..............97 100 100 94 82 72 67 65 65 67 67 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 10 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 16  
LVORI...........8 8 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...NELSON  
REQUESTED BY...LT S. CHAPMAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2516959.0/JAX  
.DELDT 06/30/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SONJACHAPMAN@FLHSMV.GOV  
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