823  
FNUS72 KJAX 301729  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFORD BAY (45)...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
129 PM EDT MON JUN 30 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 EDT ON JUNE 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES FORECAST ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NUMEROUS AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NEAR  
THE WILDFIRE BOTH TODAY AND TUESDAY. BRIEFLY GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT  
LIGHTNING STRIKES, AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH STRONGER  
STORMS THAT MAY IMPACT THE WILDFIRE SITE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. LOW  
CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG FORMATION WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE WILDFIRE  
SITE DURING THE PREDAWN AND EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY  
AND WEDNESDAY. DENSE FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED, AND LOW CLOUDS  
SHOULD DISSIPATE BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS BOTH DAYS.  
 
SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY  
INCREASE BEFORE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON, KEEPING  
DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES IN THE FAIR RANGE. SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT  
WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY,  
AND THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS TO CREATE  
HIGH DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE  
THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN DEVELOPING NEAR THE SITE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........62 54 61 67  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 50 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).30 40 50 70  
TEMP............90 89 87 84  
RH..............60 61 68 72  
HEAT INDEX (F)..94 93 91 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 3.4 3.3 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 9  
DISPERSION IDX..25 30 30 35  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........63 63 62 56 50 41 31 18 21 17 24 35  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........DEF DEF CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 80 40 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).90 80 30 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............81 76 76 74 73 73 72 72 71 70 70 70  
RH..............79 97 94 97 100 97 100 97 100 100 100 100  
HEAT INDEX (F)..86 85 78 76 74 73 72 72 72 72 71 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 9 7 7 6 6 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 12 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 9  
DISPERSION IDX..25 20 10 8 8 7 5 5 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........42 38 37 34 46 39 40 31 42 49 62 52  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 0 10 10 20 20 50 60 70 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 0 10 10 20 20 50 60 70 70  
TEMP............70 70 73 77 80 83 85 86 86 86 85 84  
RH..............100 100 100 90 82 72 67 65 60 65 65 70  
HEAT INDEX (F)..71 72 73 76 79 87 90 93 93 93 93 91  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 6 7 9 9 10 13 13 14 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.1 1.1 1.7 2.6 3.0 3.8 4.0 4.5 4.2 3.8 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 12 14 15 16 16 16 18 18 18  
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 15 25 45 60 75 80 90 85 85 80  
LVORI...........9 8 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...NELSON  
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WORK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2516862.3/JAX  
.DELDT 06/30/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SIERRA.BLACKWELL@FDACS.GOV,MICHAEL.WORK@FDACS.GOV,SEAN.DOWIE@FDACS.GOV,SALVATORE.DALU@FDACS.GOV  
 
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