271  
FNUS72 KJAX 031945  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFORD BAY (45)...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
345 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 EDT ON JULY 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE SITE TROUGH  
ABOUT THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS BEFORE BEGINNING TO WANE. SOME PATCHY  
FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS  
FRIDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING. FLOW WILL BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER OVERALL  
ON FRIDAY AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE DRAPED ACROSS  
NORTHEAST FL. THE NORTHEAST FLOW WILL ALLOW THE HIGHEST CHANCES  
FOR SHOWERS AND T'STORMS TO BE EARLIER IN THE TODAY AS THE SEA  
BREEZE MOVES INLAND QUICKLY. HIGHEST CHANCES LOOK TO BE FROM ABOUT  
NOON TO 4 PM. DISPERSION WILL BE FAIR TO GOOD, THOUGH LIKELY TO  
BE AFFECTED MORE QUICKLY IN THE AFTERNOON BY THE EARLIER ONSET OF  
SHOWERS/T'STORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 51  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).50 60  
TEMP............88 87  
RH..............66 68  
HEAT INDEX (F)..95 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..17 10  
LVORI...........3 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........52 53 69 67 58 51 48 35 33 29 38 42  
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC SCH PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW FOG  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 30 20 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).60 70 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............86 84 81 79 76 75 75 73 73 73 73 72  
RH..............70 74 82 88 97 100 97 100 100 100 100 100  
HEAT INDEX (F)..91 90 86 77 76 75 74 74 73 72 72 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S N N N N N NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 3 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE S S S S S S S SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..7 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 3 5 6 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10  
   
INDEPENDENCE DAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........57 37 33 30 48 38 48 58 60 56 71 68  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 30 30 60 60 50 40  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 30 30 60 60 50 50  
TEMP............72 72 75 78 82 85 86 87 87 86 86 85  
RH..............100 100 100 94 82 75 72 68 68 70 68 70  
HEAT INDEX (F)..72 72 74 77 89 95 98 96 96 95 94 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 6 6 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 3 6 9 9 10 13 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.0 3.6 4.3 4.8 4.5 4.2 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W N NE NE NE NE NE NE E E NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 10 12 13  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 5 10 18 25 32 35 38 56 57 59  
LVORI...........10 10 9 6 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...DUBOIS  
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WORK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517225.0/JAX  
.DELDT 07/03/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.WORK@FDACS.GOV,DERICK.BILLS@FDACS.GOV  
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