176
FNUS72 KJAX 191341
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEILING BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
941 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..AREAS OF HIGH DISPERSIONS INLAND TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
DISCUSSION
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15-20 MPH MPH EXPECTED
TODAY BETWEEN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTH FROM NEW
ENGLAND TO NORTH GA AND HURRICANE ERIN MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST, BUT
STAYING WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST AWAY FROM THE REGION. THE ONSHORE
NORTHEAST FLOW WILL GENERATE CONVERGENT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED COASTAL
SHOWERS MOVING INLAND OVER THE SITE AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
WIDELY ISOLATED T'STORM POSSIBLE UNDER GENERALLY PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
SHOWERS WILL END BEFORE SUNSET WITH SKIES TURNING MOSTLY CLEAR LATE
TONIGHT AND WINDS BECOMING LIGHTER FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST 3-5 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. WEDNESDAY, AS ERIN MOVES NORTHWARD WELL TO THE EAST
OF THE REGION WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION 5-10 MPH
GUSTING TO 15 MPH WITH DRIER AIR LIMITING CHANCES FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS MAINLY EAST OF THE SITE CLOSER TO THE COASTLINE.
ELEVATED SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL CREATE HIGH DAYTIME
DISPERSIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHTENED BETWEEN THE HIGH TO THE NORTH AND ERIN
PASSING WELL TO THE EAST.
REST OF TODAY
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........15 18 35 40 54 60 42 47
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 30 40 40 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 20 30 40 40 30
TEMP............85 88 90 92 93 93 92 91
RH..............75 66 60 54 52 52 54 56
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 9 9 10 12 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10 14 14 14 16 17 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.7 4.1 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 13 13 13 14 14 14
DISPERSION IDX..37 56 63 70 70 65 69 71
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........48 36 27 21 18 6 4 2 5 6 6 12
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............90 87 84 81 79 78 76 76 75 73 73 73
RH..............58 61 67 74 82 82 87 90 94 100 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE NE NE NE N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 9 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 2.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E NE NE NE NE N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 12 10 9 8 8 7 7 8 10 12
DISPERSION IDX..54 34 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 4 5 5
LVORI...........1 1 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 8 7 7
WEDNESDAY
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 16 13 9 8 6 11 15 20 23 25 28
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 30
TEMP............73 72 74 79 83 87 90 91 92 93 93 92
RH..............97 100 97 85 74 65 58 54 52 49 49 51
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 9 10 10 13 13 13 13 10 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.4 4.2 5.0 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 14 12 10
DISPERSION IDX..5 5 10 24 40 57 71 87 97 92 81 77
LVORI...........7 9 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...BRICKER
REQUESTED BY...CALEB KNIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520223.0/JAX
.DELDT 08/19/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CALEB.KNIGHT@FDACS.GOV
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