177  
FNUS72 KJAX 200447  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JENNINGS STATE FOREST NATHAN HALE...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
1247 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NORTHWARD MOVING HURRICANE ERIN WILL PASS WELL TO THE EAST OF THE  
AREA TODAY, THEN TO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY. A LITTLE DRIER AIR WILL  
BE IN PLACE THROUGH THURSDAY, HELPING TO LIMIT CONVECTIVE CHANCES. A  
TROUGH WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH  
INCREASING MOISTURE LEADING TO HIGHER CHANCES FOR DAILY ROUNDS OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM  
SKY (%).........17 16 26 32 32 34 36 42 47  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 20 20 30 30 30  
TEMP............79 83 86 88 89 90 89 89 87  
RH..............88 77 70 63 61 58 59 59 61  
HEAT INDEX (F)..79 90 95 97 98 98 97 97 94  
WIND CHILL (F)..79 83 86 88 89 90 89 89 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 10 9 9 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 16 16 14 14 13 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.1 3.1 3.7 3.8 4.3 4.7 4.3 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 12 12 10 10 9  
DISPERSION IDX..25 35 49 57 56 58 57 53 46  
LVORI...........4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM  
SKY (%).........36 36 17 15 14 11 13 10 11 8 7 11  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............87 86 84 82 80 79 78 77 76 76 76 75  
RH..............63 68 72 77 82 85 85 87 90 87 87 90  
HEAT INDEX (F)..94 94 91 88 85 79 78 77 76 76 76 75  
WIND CHILL (F)..87 86 84 82 80 79 78 77 76 76 76 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE S SW SW W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW W SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 5 3 3 3 5 6 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..37 11 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
   
THURSDAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM  
SKY (%).........11 5 2 0 3 5 11 18 24 31 38 45  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............75 74 75 80 85 88 91 92 92 91 90 88  
RH..............90 93 94 82 72 68 62 58 58 60 62 66  
HEAT INDEX (F)..75 74 75 85 94 99 103 103 103 102 101 98  
WIND CHILL (F)..75 74 75 80 85 88 91 92 92 91 90 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.5 1.7 2.8 4.0 4.4 4.9 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 7 17 33 48 52 54 58 48 45 40  
LVORI...........6 6 6 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...STRUBLE  
REQUESTED BY...HOWARD SPENCER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2520270.0/JAX  
.DELDT 08/20/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL HOWARD.SOENCER@FDACS.GOV  
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