012  
FNUS72 KJAX 201413  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RSSF RX BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
1013 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HURRICANE ERIN PASSING TO THE EAST OF FLORIDA WILL RESULT IN  
SLIGHTLY BREEZY CONDITIONS TODAY WITH A NORTHERLY FLOW AROUND 5-10  
MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO AROUND 15 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING.  
ASIDE FROM A A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A VERY ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORM, CONDITIONS WILL BE MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE REST OF  
TODAY, WITH MIXING HEIGHTS AROUND 4.5KFT AND GOOD DISPERSIONS  
GIVEN LOW SHOWER AND T'STORM COVERAGE. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE  
SLIGHTLY ON THURSDAY, THOUGH STILL REMAIN GENERALLY LOWER THAN  
NORMAL. FLOW WILL SHIFT MORE WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY THURSDAY, AND  
ALSO FEATURE GOOD TO BORDERLINE HIGH DISPERSIONS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........14 29 30 35 37 37 36 36  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............82 86 88 90 90 90 90 90  
RH..............77 68 63 58 56 56 56 56  
HEAT INDEX (F)..88 94 97 98 97 97 97 97  
WIND CHILL (F)..82 86 88 90 90 90 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.4 4.6 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 14 13 12 10 10 9  
DISPERSION IDX..41 55 62 62 60 56 55 48  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........38 34 34 30 8 6 6 5 4 4 1 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............88 86 84 81 79 78 77 76 76 75 74 74  
RH..............59 65 70 74 82 82 85 85 85 87 90 90  
HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 90 85 79 78 77 76 76 75 74 74  
WIND CHILL (F)..88 86 84 81 79 78 77 76 76 75 74 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..37 8 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........11 8 6 3 5 7 12 18 23 25 27 29  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............73 73 75 80 84 88 91 92 93 93 93 91  
RH..............93 97 90 79 70 63 58 54 52 52 52 56  
HEAT INDEX (F)..73 73 75 84 90 97 101 101 102 102 102 100  
WIND CHILL (F)..73 73 75 80 84 88 91 92 93 93 93 91  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.6 4.5 5.0 5.7 5.0 4.4 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 9  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 6 7 21 47 61 67 73 65 56 46  
LVORI...........6 7 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...DUBOIS  
REQUESTED BY...SEAN DOWIE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2520308.0/JAX  
.DELDT 08/20/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SEAN.DOWIE@FDACS.GOV  
 
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