523  
FNUS72 KJAX 041708  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KINNARD PASTURE...ALACHUA COUNTY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
1208 PM EST THU DEC 4 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON DECEMBER 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
FRIDAY, MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL BECOME CLOUDY BY THE AFTERNOON  
WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS  
AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST NORTHEAST ALONG A FRONT THAT  
WILL STRETCH WEST TO EAST NEAR THE FL/GA STATE LINE. SOUTHERLY  
WINDS 10-15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND  
BREEZY 15-20 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 MPH AS THE  
LOW MOVES NEAR THE SITE THEN EAST NORTHEAST OF THE SITE. DESPITE  
INCREASING SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS, DISPERSIONS WILL BE IN  
THE FAIR TO GOOD RANGE DUE TO LOW MIXING HEIGHTS.  
 
FRIDAY NIGHT, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED WITH  
LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING VERY LIGHT AND WESTERLY.  
 
SATURDAY, SHOWERS WILL INCREASE WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS MOVING INTO  
THE SITE ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE MORNING INTO  
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST  
TO NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEARING THE AREA. DAYTIME  
DISPERSIONS WILL BE IN THE FAIR TO POOR RANGE DUE TO LOW CLOUD COVER.  
 
SATURDAY NIGHT, LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST AND THEN  
NORTHERLY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SINKS SOUTH OF THE SITE WITH  
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. ABOUT 1-2 INCHES OF RAINFALL EXPECTED SATURDAY  
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS. MORE  
HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED SUNDAY, INCREASING RAINFALL TOTALS TO  
2-4 INCHES, LOCALLY HIGHER.  
 
   
FRIDAY  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........74 55 61 76 85 78 74 76 75 69  
WEATHER COV..... SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
TEMP............61 66 72 76 78 79 79 79 78 76  
RH..............93 87 79 74 71 72 74 74 76 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 12 14 15 15 15 15 14 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 17 21 23 23 23 23 21 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 18 20 21 22 22 21 20 17  
DISPERSION IDX..11 24 31 36 42 48 46 43 39 32  
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........90 93 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 93  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............73 70 69 68 67 67 66 65 64 63 62 61  
RH..............87 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W NW NW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 9 7 7 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..20 8 7 6 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2  
LVORI...........4 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10  
   
SATURDAY  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........91 89 87 85 83 85 86 88 87 86 85 88  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 60 60 60 60 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10  
TEMP............61 62 64 66 69 71 73 73 74 74 73 71  
RH..............100 100 100 100 97 90 84 81 79 76 79 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW W W W W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 6 7 9 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.3 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 8 9 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 10  
DISPERSION IDX..2 5 6 10 16 21 25 29 29 28 26 19  
LVORI...........10 9 9 7 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...BRICKER  
REQUESTED BY...JESSE NATWICK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527032.0/JAX  
.DELDT 12/05/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JNATWICK@ALACHUACOUNTY.US,MBARKER@ALACHUACOUNTY.US  
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