305  
FNUS72 KJAX 131449  
FWSJAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LEON P BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  
949 AM EST TUE JAN 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (904) 741-4370 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WARMER TODAY WITH DRY WEATHER CONTINUING AS WELL, THOUGH ABOVE  
CRITICAL MINIMUM HUMIDITY. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BE WEAK TODAY OUT  
OF THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST, WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY 5 MPH OR LESS AND  
PEAK GUSTS UNDER 10 MPH. GIVEN WEAK TRANSPORT WINDS, DAYTIME  
DISPERSION WILL BE GENERALLY POOR UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.  
 
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE WEDNESDAY WITH SCATTERED PASSING  
SHOWERS EXPECTED PRECEDING A COLD FRONT.  
WESTERLY WINDS INCREASE INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, AND THEREFORE  
DISPERSIONS INCREASE TO A MORE FAVORABLE RANGE ACCORDINGLY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 59 59 58 57 56 55 55  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 55 58 60 62 62 63 61  
RH..............66 59 59 60 58 62 62 65  
HEAT INDEX (F)..51 55 58 60 62 62 63 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 9 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N N NW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..9 12 13 15 17 18 18 12  
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........56 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 83 86 89 88  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 55 53 52 51 50 49 49 49 48 48 48  
RH..............77 77 80 83 86 86 86 83 83 80 80 77  
HEAT INDEX (F)..57 55 53 52 51 50 49 49 49 48 48 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW W W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..6 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........88 87 86 85 84 83 82 81 73 64 56 51  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 47 48 51 55 58 60 61 62 62 61 58  
RH..............76 76 74 68 64 55 47 44 43 44 48 55  
HEAT INDEX (F)..47 47 48 51 55 58 60 61 62 62 61 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 8 9 9 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 7 8 10 13 15 16 17 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 8 10 14 16 18 18 16 15 13  
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 5 10 16 25 34 57 57 52 51 39  
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...DUBOIS  
REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM ELLEDGE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528993.0/JAX  
.DELDT 01/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WILLIAM.ELLEDGE@FDACS.GOV  
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