437  
FXUS62 KKEY 061533  
AFDKEY  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL  
1033 AM EST THU MAR 6 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 848 AM EST THU MAR 6 2025  
 
POST COLD FRONTAL CONDITIONS DESCRIBE THE MORNING WEATHER OVER  
KEY WEST. WINDS AT THE REEF ARE MEASURING NEAR 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS  
NEAR 25 KNOTS AT BOTH THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS. KBYX  
DETECTIONS DO NOT SHOW RAIN THIS MORNING. GOES EAST DAY CLOUD  
PHASE RGBS SHOW CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE CWA IS LIMITED TO LOW LEVEL  
STRATUS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE EXTENT OF DRY AIR IS SUPPORTED BY  
THE 12Z KKEY BALLOON, WHICH SAMPLED A DISTINCT INVERSION CAPPING  
CLOUD HEIGHTS BELOW 5000 FT AND AN OVERALL PWAT WELL BELOW THE  
10TH PERCENTILE FOR THE DAY. DEW POINTS ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN  
ARE STILL NEAR 60F, AND OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE FLORIDA PENINSULA  
SHOW THE DEEP COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE CANADIAN AIR MASS IS  
STILL NEAR ORLANDO. TODAY, EXPECTING DEW POINTS TO DECREASE INTO  
THE UPPER 50S WITH WINDS GRADUALLY SLACKENING AS THE PRESSURE  
GRADIENT WEAKENS.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
ISSUED AT 848 AM EST THU MAR 6 2025  
 
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS  
COASTAL WATERS TODAY, ESPECIALLY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. FROM  
SYNOPSIS, FRESH BREEZES IN THE AFTERMATH OF A COLD FRONT WILL  
SLACKEN BRIEFLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS.  
DESPITE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE GULF, AN OFFSHORE  
WIND SURGE WEST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL RESULT IN A BRIEF  
PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THIS EVENING. BREEZES  
WILL SLACKEN EVERYWHERE OVERNIGHT AND VEER TO THE NORTHEAST BY  
FRIDAY MORNING. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGH THE  
WEEKEND AS IT SLIDES ACROSS FLORIDA AND INTO THE WESTERN NORTH  
ATLANTIC RESULTING IN GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES, OCCASIONALLY  
LIGHT OVER THE WEEKEND. A SECOND FRONTAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED SUNDAY  
NIGHT TO MONDAY, WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY  
CONDITIONS AT THE START OF NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 848 AM EST THU MAR 6 2025  
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON.  
FRESH NORTHWESTERLY BREEZES WILL LULL BRIEFLY THIS AFTERNOON, THEN  
FRESHEN AGAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. CROSSWINDS WILL BE PRESENT.  
 

 
   
CLIMATE
 
 
ON THIS DAY IN 1957, HAIL SMALLER THAN 3/4" FELL IN KEY WEST.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
KEY WEST 72 62 75 70 / 0 0 0 0  
MARATHON 74 61 76 71 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR  
GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075.  
 

 
 

 
 
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AJP  
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11  
DATA ACQUISITION.....11  
 
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