908
FXUS62 KKEY 111833
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
233 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 233 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2025
A BEAUTIFUL DAY HAS CONTINUED ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS! SUNNY
SKIES WITH LIMITED CLOUD COVERAGE AND THE LAST REMAINING CLOUDS
ABOUT TO EXIT OUR DISTANT STRAITS WATERS IS PRESENT ON GOES-16
SATELLITE. KBYX RADAR REMAINS ECHO-FREE. THE DEW POINT THIS
AFTERNOON WAS RAPIDLY DROPPING FROM THE MID 50S MAKING IT ALL THE
WAY DOWN TO 43F BEFORE SLIGHTLY RECOVERING TO THE LOWER 50S. THIS
HAS MADE FOR A REALLY NICE DAY OUTSIDE! WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO
SLACKEN WITH THE REEF NOW OBSERVING WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS. FOR
TONIGHT, THINGS AREN'T EXPECTED TO CHANGE MUCH AS DRY AIR
DOMINATES THE AREA LIMITING ANY SHOWER DEVELOPMENT LEADING TO NEAR
NIL RAIN CHANCES.
FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK, A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE EAST OFF THE GULF COAST RESULTING IN EASTERLY WINDS RETURNING
TO OUR AREA. WITH THE EASTERLY WIND, TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
MODERATE AND STAY STEADY THROUGH THE WEEK. DRY AIR IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE DOMINATING OUR AREA SO THROUGH THIS WEEK RAIN CHANCES
ARE NEAR NIL. A SECONDARY HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE WEEKEND IN THE
CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE GRADIENT WIND FOR
US. THIS COUPLED WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO
SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES BEING INTRODUCED OVER THE WEEKEND.
LATE THIS WEEKEND, THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN GUIDANCE THAT A
LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL DEEPEN IN THE GREAT PLAINS RESULTING IN
POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER FOR THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC
REGIONS. FOR OUR AREA, RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE BUT THE CHANCE
FOR CONVECTION REMAINS UNLIKELY. ALTHOUGH, WE COULD GET A
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT AS THE FEATURE LIFTS NORTHWARD EARLY NEXT
WEEK. AS FOR NOW MILD WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 233 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2025
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS COASTAL WATERS. FROM SYNOPSIS, HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE GULF WILL SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THIS WEEK, WITH
GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES CLOCKING AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST, THEN
EAST, AND THEN TO SOUTHEAST. AS A SECOND, STRONGER HIGH BUILDS IN
THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC, SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES WILL FRESHEN FOR
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 233 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON
AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. NEAR SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN MOSTLY OUT OF THE NORTH WITH GUSTY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS
CONTINUING FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS (~11/19Z-21Z), DIMINISHING
THEREAFTER.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....MJV
DATA ACQUISITION.....MJV
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