990  
FXUS62 KKEY 290242  
AFDKEY  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL  
1042 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 949 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2025  
 
A SURFACE ATLANTIC RIDGE STRETCHES WESTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA AND HAS  
CARRIED IN A SAHARAN AIR LAYER HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA. THIS  
ALONG WITH THE LOWER LEVEL HIGH CENTERED ACROSS OUR BROADER AREA  
HAS RESULTED IN QUITE STABLE CONDITIONS. WHILE SURFACE CONDITIONS  
ARE SEASONABLE, WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S AND DEW POINTS IN  
THE MID 70S, THERE IS A HEALTHY INVERSION BASED A BIT BELOW 900 MB  
WITH CONSIDERABLE DRY AIR THROUGH THE LOWER LEVELS. AS A RESULT,  
SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BEEN ALL BUT ABSENT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA  
THROUGH THE EVENING. WITH THAT SAID, THERE HAS BEEN LIMITED  
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NOT TO FAR AWAY OVER AND NEAR  
SOUTH FLORIDA.  
 
SURFACE THROUGH LOWER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE  
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, ALONG WITH THE SAHARAN AIR. THIS  
SHOULD HELP TO CURTAIL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. DIME POPS MAY BE  
HIGH GIVEN THE ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER IT IS DIFFICULT TO REMOVE POPS  
COMPLETELY GIVEN THE SMATTERING OF ACTIVITY TO OUR NORTH AND EAST.  
EXPECT SURFACE WINDS TO REMAIN GENTLE OUT OF THE EAST TO  
SOUTHEAST. THIS STEADY BREEZE WILL MAINTAIN SEASONABLY WARM  
CONDITIONS WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. DEW POINTS SHOULD LINGER IN  
THE MID 70S.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
ISSUED AT 949 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2025  
 
ATLANTIC RIDGING ACROSS FLORIDA WILL MAINTAIN BROADLY GENTLE TO  
MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES ON KEYS WATERS OVERNIGHT.  
WINDS WILL BE A NOTCH HIGHER OVER OUR SOUTHWESTERN MARINE ZONES.  
ESSENTIALLY NO CHANGES MADE IN THE EVENING MARINE UPDATE.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 949 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.  
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO GENTLE OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST.  
 

 
   
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11  
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11  
DATA ACQUISITION.....DP  
 
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