549
FXUS62 KKEY 070226
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1026 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2025
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1030 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2025
A SURFACE THROUGH LOWER LEVEL ATLANTIC RIDGE REACHES WESTWARD
ACROSS THE KEYS THIS EVENING. THIS IS KEEPING WINDS LIGHT TO
GENTLE OUT OF THE SOUTH. WEAK RIDGING IS IN PLACE THROUGH THE MID
AND UPPER LEVELS. HOWEVER, THIS EVENINGS SOUNDING EXHIBITED A
CONSIDERABLE CAPE, A PRECIPITABLE WATER OF 1.92 INCHES, AND A SLIVER
OF INHIBITION. THIS ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTED A LINE OF CUBAN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT RECENTLY DROVE THROUGH THE LOWER KEYS AND
NOW FINALLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INTO THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS.
THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL LIFT NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. THIS WILL ALLOW LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES TO
BACK SOUTHEASTERLY AND PERHAPS STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY. THE
ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN WEAKLY CAPPED AND QUITE UNSTABLE. AS A
RESULT, A ROUND OR TWO OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE
COMPLETELY RULED OUT. WILL MAINTAIN AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AWAY FROM CONVECTION, OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE IN THE LOWER 80S WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID 70S.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1030 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2025
THE WESTERN FLANK OF AN ATLANTIC RIDGE ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS
AND THE KEYS WILL LIFT SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH FLORIDA
OVERNIGHT. AS A RESULT, LIGHT TO GENTLE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY BREEZES
WILL BACK SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AND STRENGTHEN MODESTLY. ONLY MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS MADE IN THE EVENING MARINE UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1019 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO GENTLE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....AJP
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