207
FXUS62 KKEY 151503
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1103 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1103 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2025
KBYX RADAR HAS REMAINED BUSY THIS MORNING INTO NOW. ACROSS THE
ISLAND CHAIN, THINGS HAVE STARTED TO TREND DOWN AS A MAJORITY OF
THE STRONGER ACTIVITY IS NOW IN THE DISTANT STRAITS. DUE TO CLOUDY
CONDITIONS SEEN ON GOES-19 SATELITTE, TEMPERATURES ARE STILL IN
THE LOWER 80S FOR THOSE NOT CURRENTLY RAINING AND THE MID 70S FOR
ISLAND COMMUNITIES STILL EXPERIENCING RAIN. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE
WINDS, THE REEF IS RECORDING WINDS FROM 5 TO 10 KNOTS, BUT DUE TO
NEARING SHOWER ACTIVITY THE DIRECTIONS VARY DEPENDING ON WHERE
YOU'RE LOCATED. THIS AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL BECOME MORE UNIFORM OF
SOUTHEAST TO EAST BUT REMAINING AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SHOWER ACTIVITY
FOR THE LOWER KEYS AND THEIR SURROUNDING WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO
REDUCE IN STRENGTH AND COVERAGE WHILE IN THE UPPER KEYS MOVING THE
OPPOSITE DIRECTION TOWARDS THE ISLANDS, AND COULD RESULT IN MORE
MEASURABLE RAIN. NO CHANGES WERE NECESSARY TO THE CURRENT FORECAST
PACKAGE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1103 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2025
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS WATERS. FROM SYNOPSIS, WEAK LOW PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE VICINITY OF THE SPACE
COAST. HOWEVER, THE OVERALL PRESSURE PATTERN REMAINS RATHER WEAK,
THEREFORE, LIGHT TO GENTLE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH BREEZES ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION, ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
MAIN THREATS BEING GUSTY WINDS AND CONFUSED SEAS NEAR CONVECTION.
AS THE WEAK LOW PRESSURE SHIFTS OFF TO THE WEST AND INTO THE GULF,
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT STRENGTHENING THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT. THIS WILL LEAD TO GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH ITS
WESTERN PERIPHERY EXTENDING INTO THE KEYS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
GENTLE TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES CONTINUING,
OCCASIONALLY BECOMING MODERATE TO FRESH.
AVIATION
(15Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1103 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2025
LIGHT RAIN AT EYW WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO REDUCING
CIGS AND VIS TO MVFR CONDITIONS. THEREAFTER VFR COUNTDOWNS WILL
PREVAIL AT BOTH TERMINALS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NEAR SURFACE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP
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