658
FXUS62 KKEY 170239
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1039 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 938 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2025
A SURFACE THROUGH LOWER LEVEL ATLANTIC PRESSURE RIDGE STRETCHES
WESTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS
IS DRIVING GENTLE EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES ACROSS THE KEYS
THIS EVENING. THIS EVENINGS SOUNDING INDICATED COPIOUS CAPE WITH A
NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER OF 1.85 INCHES. THERE WAS A SMALL
NOSE OF LOWER LEVEL INHIBITION. THIS IS LIKELY A LARGE
CONTRIBUTING FACTOR TO CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BEING LIMITED SO FAR.
SURFACE CONDITIONS ARE SEASONABLE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S
AND DEW POINTS IN THE MID 70S.
NO CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO THE SYNOPTIC SETUP. THIS ALONG WITH THE
NORMAL EVENING SURGE SHOULD RESULT IN EAST SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES
PICKING UP SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL
REMAIN UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED. THIS ALONG WITH THE INCREASING
FLOW AND THE USUALLY HIGHER NOCTURNAL CONFLUENCE JUSTIFIES HOLDING
CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE
SEASONABLY WARM WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S AND DEW POINTS
REMAINING IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 938 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2025
ROBUST SURFACE THROUGH LOWER LEVEL RIDGING STRETCHES WESTWARD
ACROSS FLORIDA AND IS DRIVING GENTLE TO MODERATE EAST TO
SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES ON KEYS WATERS OVERNIGHT. EXPECT WINDS TO
PICK UP A BIT FURTHER FROM CURRENT READINGS. ONLY MINOR CHANGES
MADE IN THE EVENING MARINE UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 938 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.
WITH THAT SAID, THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SPELLS OF SUB VFR
CONDITIONS DUE TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE GENTLE TO MODERATE OUT OF
THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....DR
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