514  
FXUS62 KKEY 181515  
AFDKEY  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL  
1115 AM EDT FRI JUL 18 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1115 AM EDT FRI JUL 18 2025  
KBYX THIS MORNING HAS BEEN UNEVENTFUL WITH ONLY A FEW SHOWERS  
ATTEMPTING TO FORM BUT NOT HAVING MUCH SUCCESS. DRY AIR HAS  
ENTERED OUR AREA, THE 12Z SOUNDING THIS MORNING REVEALED A DRY  
PROFILE, AND MIMIC PRECIPITABLE WATER CONFIRMED THAT THE ENTIRE  
CWA IS ENGULFED IN THIS DRY AIR. TEMPERATURES ALONG THE ISLAND  
CHAIN ARE CREEPING IN THE UPPER 80S AND WITH LIMITED CLOUD  
DEVELOPMENT ON GOES-19 SATELLITE, IT IS EXPECTED TO HOLD  
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WIND OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE REEF ARE BEING  
RECORDED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THESE ELEVATED WINDS RESULTED IN  
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINES FOR THE STRAITS OF  
FLORIDA AND UNTIL WINDS DECREASE INCLUSION FOR THE REMAINDER OF  
THE COASTAL WATERS. BEYOND HEADLINES BEING TAKEN DOWN LATER THIS  
AFTERNOON AS WINDS DECREASE, NO CHANGES ARE NECCESARY TO THE  
CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 1115 AM EDT FRI JUL 18 2025  
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA, AND  
UNTIL WINDS DECREASE IN THE FLORIDA BAY, BAYSIDE/GULF SIDE, AND  
HAWK CHANNEL. FROM SYNOPSIS, A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL  
CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH ATLANTIC TOWARDS THE  
FLORIDA PENINSULA, SUPPORTING FRESHENING EAST TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES  
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AS A SECOND, WEAK AREA OF HIGH  
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE  
WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, EAST TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES WILL  
SLACKEN, BECOMING LIGHT TO GENTLE.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(15Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1115 AM EDT FRI JUL 18 2025  
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF  
PERIOD. DRIER AIR WILL LIMIT SHOWER ACTIVITY LEAVING VCSH OUT OF  
BOTH TAF LOCATIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING. NEAR SURFACE WINDS WILL  
REMAIN EAST TO SOUTHEAST WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF NEAR 20 KNOTS  
UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON THEN WILL BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS.  
 
 
   
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
FL...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP  
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP  
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP  
 
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