044
FXUS62 KKEY 150243
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1043 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 959 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2025
DEEP LAYERED RIDGING REMAINS DOMINANT ACROSS OUR AREA WITH THE
SURFACE THROUGH LOWER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS FLORIDA, AND THE MID TO
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. THIS EVENINGS
SOUNDING INDICATED NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER AND AMPLE CAPE.
HOWEVER, THERE WAS A SLIVER OF LOWER LEVEL INHIBITION AND
LOW LEVEL FORCING WAS ABSENT DUE TO THE BACKGROUND ANTICYCLONIC
FLOW. AS A RESULT, SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BEEN ALMOST ENTIRELY ABSENT
FROM THE FORECAST AREA OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. SEASONABLE
CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S AND DEW POINTS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SURFACE WINDS HAVE BEEN TRACKING LIGHT
OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST.
RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO RULE THE AREA OVERNIGHT. AS A RESULT,
SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND MAINLY OUT OF THE EAST.
FORECAST SOUNDING SUGGESTS WEAK LOWER LEVEL INHIBITION WILL
REMAIN. HOWEVER, A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED
OUT DUE TO THE AMPLE CAPE AND MOISTURE. EXPECT LOWS IN THE LOWER
80S AND DEW POINTS REMAINING IN THE MID 70S.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 959 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2025
WEAK ATLANTIC RIDGING WILL STRETCH ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN LIGHT MOSTLY EASTERLY BREEZES
ACROSS KEYS WATERS OVERNIGHT. VIRTUALLY NO CHANGES MADE IN THE
EVENING MARINE UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 959 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....DP
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