994
FXUS62 KKEY 160301
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1101 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1019 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
THE EVENING SHIFT WOULD LIKE TO THANK THE ATMOSPHERE FOR THE
MOSTLY CALM EVENING ALONG THE FLORIDA KEYS. OUR KBYX RADAR DID
DETECT SOME ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS, MAINLY NEAR THE LOWER
KEYS. THIS ACTIVITY FIZZLED OUT FAIRLY QUICK, AND WE COULD COUNT
THE NUMBER OF LIGHTNING STRIKES ON ONE HAND. IMPRESSIVELY DRY AIR
BETWEEN 700MB AND 500MB LIKELY PLAYED THE BIGGEST ROLE IN KEEPING
THE ACTIVITY FROM GETTING TOO SPICY. AT THIS TIME, IT LOOKS LIKE
THERE ARE SOME LINGERING BOUNDARIES OVER THE WATERS, SO WE CAN'T
RULE OUT A FEW POP UP SHOWERS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BUT, THE
EARLIER CONVECTION HAS FIZZLED OUT. CIMSS MIMIC LAYER PWAT DOES
SHOW A PUSH OF HIGHER MOISTURE ENCROACHING ON OUR AREA. OTHERWISE,
THE FORECAST IS UNFOLDING AS EXPECTED. LIGHT EASTERLY BREEZES
WITH A FEW BENIGN CLOUDS DRIFTING BY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES SIT IN THE LOWER 80S. NO CHANGES ARE BEING
MADE TO THE CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1019 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. FROM SYNOPSIS, A BROAD
RIDGE STRETCHING FROM THE NORTH ATLANTIC WESTWARD ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL RESULT IN LIGHT TO GENTLE EASTERLY BREEZES
ACROSS THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK, THE
WEEKEND, AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. RAIN AND THUNDER CHANCES WILL BE
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1019 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH TERMINALS WITH FEW CLOUDS
NEAR FL025 AND EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
CLIMATE
ON THIS DAY IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY, THE RECORD DAILY HIGH OF 98F
WAS RECORDED IN MARATHON. THIS ALSO TIES FOR THE WARMEST
TEMPERATURE EVER RECORDED IN THE MONTH OF AUGUST FOR THE MARATHON
AREA. TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR MARATHON DATE BACK TO JUNE 1950.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
KEY WEST 92 81 91 81 / 20 20 20 30
MARATHON 91 82 90 82 / 20 20 30 30
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...DP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....DP
DATA ACQUISITION.....BT
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