126  
FNUS52 KKEY 160805  
FWFKEY  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL  
405 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A LINGERING SURFACE BOUNDARY IS SITUATED TO THE SOUTH OF THE  
ISLAND CHAIN, AND WILL PULL BACK TOWARD SOUTHERN FLORIDA OVER THE  
NEXT DAY OR TWO. RAINFALL CHANCES WILL JUMP DRASTICALLY FROM  
AROUND 30 PERCENT TODAY TO 60 PERCENT TONIGHT. AS SHOWERS  
INITIALLY POP UP, THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED DUE TO SOME  
LINGERING DRIER AIR ALOFT. HOWEVER, DEEPENING MOISTURE TONIGHT  
WILL LEAD TO SOME INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. OVERALL FIRE  
WEATHER CONCERNS ARE AT A MINIMUM.  
 
FLZ076>078-170100-  
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF KEY LARGO, MARATHON, AND KEY WEST  
405 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 70  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 50 50  
WEATHER TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 90 78 88  
MIN/MAX RH % 68 89 72  
WIND 20FT AM (MPH) E 6 E 9  
WIND 20FT PM (MPH) E 6 E 7 NE 8  
PRECIP DURATION 2 8 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.36 0.18 0.30  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3200 1400 2900  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 12 E 16 NE 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 37 20 43  
MAX LVORI 4 4 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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