289
FXUS62 KKEY 051616
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1116 AM EST WED NOV 5 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
-STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA WILL
RESULT IN MAINLY MODERATE NORTHEAST TO EAST BREEZES TODAY WITH
LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN.
-SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION (SCEC) UNTIL WINDS DECREASE
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE GULF WATERS WITH SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION UNTIL WINDS DECREASE AND SEAS SUBSIDE ACROSS THE STRAITS
OF FLORIDA TODAY.
-BREEZES WILL FURTHER SLACKEN LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AS A
TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
-A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT IS ANTICIPATED TO PRESS
THROUGH THE KEYS EARLY NEXT WEEK THAT MAY RESULT IN MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES, SIGNIFICANT DROP IN HUMIDITY, AND BREEZY/WINDY
CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1115 AM EST WED NOV 5 2025
KBYX REMAINS MOSTLY QUIET THIS MORNING APART FROM A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS IN THE DISTANT STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THESE SHOWERS ARE WEAK
AND SHALLOW AS WE TRANSITION INTO A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT POST
FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US CONTINUES TO DRIFT
EASTWARD CAUSING ELEVATED WINDS TO SLACKEN THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
CURRENT OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE REEF ARE NEAR 15 KNOTS AND SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS DECREASE AND SEAS
SUBSIDE FOR THE STRAITS AND DEEP GULF. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
ISLAND CHAIN ARE IN THE MID 70S, AND AS THE SUN CONTINUES TO POKE
OUT ARE EXPECTED TO WARM TO THE UPPER 70S. THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY WILL BE MOSTLY PLEASANT WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES AND
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH LIMITED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED. NO
CHANGES WERE NECESSARY TO THIS UPDATE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1115 AM EST WED NOV 5 2025
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS DECREASE AND SEAS
SUBSIDE FOR THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND DEEP GULF WATERS. FROM
SYNOPSIS, STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE
EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE
BREEZES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THEREAFTER, BREEZES SLACKEN
AS THE RIDGE MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC AND WEAKENS. A POTENT
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE KEYS TOWARDS THE BEGINNING
OF NEXT WEEK WHICH IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF
FRESHENING BREEZES.
AVIATION
(15Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1115 AM EST WED NOV 5 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. DRY AIR WILL LIMIT ANY SHOWER DEVELOPMENT, THEREFORE, NO
MENTION OF VCSH AT THIS TIME. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK UP
THROUGHOUT THE DAY RESULTING IN SCATTERED COVERAGE. NEAR SURFACE
WINDS ARE NORTHEAST AT NEAR 10 KNOTS.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP
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