272
FXUS62 KKEY 061516
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1016 AM EST THU NOV 6 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
-A SERIES OF HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS DOCKING IN THE CENTRAL NORTH
ATLANTIC WILL SUPPORT LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTHEAST TO EAST BREEZES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS.
-SEASONAL KING TIDES MAY SUPPORT BOUTS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND.
-CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE THAT A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT
WILL BLAST THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS ON MONDAY, USHERING MUCH
COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1008 AM EST THU NOV 6 2025
IT HAS FAIRLY QUIET, ALBEIT QUITE A BIT CLOUDY FOR THE FLORIDA
KEYS. KBYX RADAR SHOWS A BROKEN BAND OF SHOWERS TRAVERSING ACROSS
MOSTLY THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THESE SHOWERS HAVE ON OCCASION
MOVED INTO THE EASTERNMOST HAWK CHANNEL AND BRUSHED ALONG THE
UPPER KEYS. SO FAR, NO REAL MEASURABLE RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED FOR
THE ISLAND COMMUNITIES. MEANWHILE, HIGH PRESSURE IS GRADUALLY
BUILDING ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE U.S. WHICH WILL ACT TO
REINFORCE AN EARLY HIGH THAT WAS FLATTENED ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
NORTH ATLANTIC. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS
ACROSS OUR AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY.
THE PESKY CLOUDS WE'RE DEALING WITH IS DUE TO A CUT-OFF UPPER
LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF WATERS. THIS CONTINUES TO PUMP
MOISTURE RICH AIR ALOFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS IS RESULTING IN
THE MID DECK OF CLOUDS THAT WE CONTINUE TO SEE THIS MORNING. THIS
FEATURE WILL OPEN UP LATER TODAY INTO TOMORROW AND FINALLY LIFT
OUT, HOWEVER, EXPECT FILTERED SUNSHINE TO CONTINUE. FORECAST IN ON
TARGET, THEREFORE, NO CHANGES WERE NEEDED.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1008 AM EST THU NOV 6 2025
A SERIES OF HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS SLIDING THROUGH THE
NORTH ATLANTIC WILL SUPPORT LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTHEAST TO EAST
BREEZES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. AS THE SYSTEMS SLIDE
FURTHER EASTWARD IN THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND THE ASSOCIATED
RIDGE WEAKENS, BREEZES WILL SLACKEN FURTHER. A POTENT COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS MARINE ZONES ON MONDAY, WITH
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLIES EXPECTED IN ITS WAKE FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(15Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1008 AM EST THU NOV 6 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH ISLAND TERMINALS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL APPROACH THE MTH
TERMINAL BUT STAY MOSTLY OFFSHORE. THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD
OFF ON VCSH FOR THE TIME BEING. OTHERWISE, GENTLE TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST TO EAST BREEZES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
KEY WEST 84 75 84 75 / 10 20 30 30
MARATHON 82 75 83 75 / 10 20 30 30
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...LIW
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....LIW
DATA ACQUISITION.....LIW
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