114
FXUS62 KKEY 081707
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1207 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
-WARM AND HUMID WEEKEND ACROSS THE KEYS.
-SEASONAL KING TIDES WILL LIKELY SUPPORT BOUTS OF MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A
COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND
MIDDLE KEYS.
-A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT WILL BLAST THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS ON
MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH
WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ON MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1100 AM EST SAT NOV 8 2025
SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED FROM THE
LONGHORN STATE OF TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE CAROLINAS, WITH A
SURFACE HIGH CENTERED IN THE EAST-CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC. THIS
PLACES THE FLORIDA KEYS IN A REGION OF LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW.
THE 12Z MORNING SOUNDING AT KEY SAMPLED A QUIESCENT LOWER
TROPOSPHERE. THE FORECAST FOR THE AFTERNOON SUPPORTS NIL RAIN
CHANCES, MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, AND HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NO CHANGES
PROPOSED TO THE INHERITED FORECAST.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1100 AM EST SAT NOV 8 2025
THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES IN EFFECT
ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS COASTAL WATERS. FROM SYNOPSIS, HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL NORTH
ATLANTIC THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN MAINLY
LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES, POTENTIALLY BECOMING VARIABLE AT
TIMES. A POTENT COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS
MARINE ZONES ON MONDAY WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLIES EXPECTED
IN ITS WAKE EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE NEXT HIGH BUILDS IN BEHIND
THE FRONT, WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AND GRADUALLY
SLACKEN. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH BREEZES WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE.
AVIATION
(15Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM EST SAT NOV 8 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH ISLAND TERMINALS
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NEAR NIL RAIN CHANCES WILL LEAVE ANY
PRECIPITATION MENTION OUT OF EITHER TAF. NEAR-SURFACE WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY OUT OF THE EAST, BECOMING VARIABLE AT
TIMES.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...BT
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....BT
DATA ACQUISITION.....BT
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