595  
FXUS62 KKEY 190355  
AFDKEY  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL  
1055 PM EST THU DEC 18 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
-SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH BREEZES WILL VEER TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND  
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND SLACKEN. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE  
POSSIBLE FOR THE ISLAND CHAIN AND NEARSHORE WATERS NORTH OF THE  
ISLAND CHAIN.  
 
-LIGHT WINDS AND A MOIST AIR MASS COULD PROMOTE PATCHY FOG FOR THE  
ISLAND CHAIN BUT MORE LIKELY ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS NORTH OF  
THE ISLAND CHAIN.  
 
-RAIN CHANCES HAVE INCREASED THIS EVENING, WITH THUNDER ALSO  
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AHEAD OF A WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE.  
 
-OUTSIDE OF MODESTLY FRESHENED BREEZES, MINIMAL CHANGES TO THE  
SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 1055 PM EST THU DEC 18 2025  
KBYX RADAR HAS BEEN BUSY TONIGHT. EARLIER IN THE NIGHT SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE SEEN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN  
GULF. RADAR ACTIVITY HAS SLIGHTLY DIMINISHED SINCE THEN, CURRENTLY  
DETECTING LIGHT SHOWERS IN THE STRAITS SOUTH OF THE UPPER KEYS.  
TEMPERATURES ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN ARE IN THE MID 70S WITH MOSTLY  
CLOUDY SKIES SEEN ON NIGHTTIME MICROPHYSICS. ALONG THE REEF,  
WINDS ARE 5 TO 10 KNOTS. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT, SCATTERED  
SHOWERS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS A FRONT STARTS  
TO APPROACH OUR WATERS. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND BECOME  
VARIABLE LATE TONIGHT. IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, SOME PATCHY FOG  
IS POSSIBLE IN THE GULF WATERS. NO CHANGES WERE NECESSARY TO THIS  
UPDATE PACKAGE.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
ISSUED AT 1055 PM EST THU DEC 18 2025  
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR  
THE FLORIDA KEYS WATERS. FROM SYNOPSIS, GENTLE TO MODERATE EAST  
TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES WILL SLACKEN AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES FURTHER  
EASTWARD OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC.  
A WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS COASTAL WATERS ON  
FRIDAY, WITH MODESTLY FRESHENED BREEZES EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND  
IN ITS WAKE. ANOTHER HIGH BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL  
SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1055 PM EST THU DEC 18 2025  
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF  
PERIOD. LIGHT SHOWERS COULD POSSIBLY BRUSH EITHER TERMINAL BUT LOW  
CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND LOCATION WILL LEAVE MENTION OF VCSH  
OUT THE TIME BEING. NEAR SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
THROUGH SUNRISE.  
 

 
   
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP  
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP  
DATA ACQUISITION.....DP  
 
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