582
FXUS62 KKEY 060340
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1040 PM EST MON JAN 5 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
-MEASURABLE RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN NEAR-NIL THROUGH AT LEAST
MID-WEEK.
-TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLY WARM THROUGH THE WORK WEEK, WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S, AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR
70.
-CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR A POTENTIALLY STRONG FRONTAL
PASSAGE AROUND THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND OR EARLY THE FOLLOWING
WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 759 PM EST MON JAN 5 2026
A SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST HOLDS A RIDGE
ACROSS FLORIDA AND THE GULF. THIS IS MAINTAINING LIGHT NORTHEAST
TO EASTERLY BREEZES ACROSS THE KEYS THIS EVENING. MOISTURE IS DOWN
A BIT FROM 24 HOURS AGO DUE TO INCOMING STREAMLINES ARRIVING FROM
HIGHER LATITUDES. THIS IS MAKING FOR A COMFORTABLE EVENING. THIS
EVENINGS SOUNDING INDICATED STABLE CONDITIONS WITH ROBUST WARMING
AND DRYING BEGINNING BELOW 700 MB. PRECIPITABLE WATER WAS SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL AT .94 INCHES. WHILE A FEW SHOWERS HAVE BEEN EVIDENT
OVER THE DISTANT FLORIDA STRAITS, THE ISLAND CHAIN HAS REMAINED
DRY.
NO NOTEWORTHY CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO THE SYNOPTIC MAKEUP OF OUR
WEATHER OVERNIGHT. THE STEADY, BUT LIGHT, NORTHEAST TO EASTERLY
BREEZES WILL HELP TO HOLD UP TEMPERATURES BROADLY IN THE UPPER
60S. A HANDFUL OF SHELTERED LOCATIONS MAY BE ABLE TO VISIT THE
MID 60S, NEAR THE DEW POINT. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN NIL DUE TO
CONTINUED STABLE CONDITIONS AND LACK OF FORCING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 759 PM EST MON JAN 5 2026
A SURFACE HIGH OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO DRAPE A
RIDGE ACROSS FLORIDA AND THE GULF. THIS WILL KEEP BREEZES LIGHT
OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST ON KEYS WATERS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD. NO CHANGES PLANNED FOR THE EVENING MARINE UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 759 PM EST MON JAN 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....AJP
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