870
FXUS62 KKEY 250349
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1049 PM EST SAT JAN 24 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
-WARMER THAN USUAL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXPECT RISING DEW POINTS THROUGH
SUNDAY.
-A POTENT COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO RACE THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS
LATE MONDAY. WINDS WILL RAPIDLY SHIFT NORTHERLY AND SUSTAINED
STRONG TO NEAR GALE BREEZES ARE POSSIBLE.
-THE COLD AIR MASS BEHIND THE FRONT, AND A REINFORCING FRONT WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1045 PM EST SAT JAN 24 2026
A RELATIVELY UNEVENTFUL NIGHT IS UNDERWAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS.
THE RECENTLY RETURNED FROM MAINTENANCE KBYX RADAR IS FREE OF
METEOROLOGICAL ECHOES NEAR THE ISLAND CHAIN, BUT DOES DETECT SOME
LIGHT SHOWERS PERCOLATING IN THE DISTANT STRAITS OF FLORIDA SOUTH
OF THE DRY TORTUGAS. GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY BREEZES ALONG THE
REEF ARE A COUPLE KNOTS HIGHER THAN THIS AFTERNOON AS MAINLAND'S
THERMAL LOW DISSIPATED WITH DAYTIME HEAT. CURRENT TEMPERATURES
ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN ARE MILD AND HUMID RANGING IN THE MID 70S
WITH DEW POINTS NEAR 70.
NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED IN THE SHORT TERM. SURFACE RIDGING NOSED OVER
SOUTHEAST CONUS PROMOTES GENERALLY EASTERLY BREEZES OVER THE
KEYS. THIS RIDGE WILL PIVOT INTO THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC
VEERING OUR WINDS TO THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST BY TOMORROW MORNING.
MODERATELY DRY AIR ALOFT WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES NEAR NIL IN THE
SHORT TERM EVEN IF LOW CLOUD COVER DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT. SUNDAY WILL
MOSTLY BE SPENT WATCHING THE STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPING DOWN INTO
THE GULF FROM THE GREAT PLAINS AS BREEZES CONTINUE TO VEER TO THE
SOUTH. TIMING FOR THE INCOMING FRONT IS STILL PLANNED TO ARRIVE
LATE MONDAY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES AND A STRONG
BLOW TO FOLLOW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1045 PM EST SAT JAN 24 2026
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. FROM SYNOPSIS, GENTLE TO
MODERATE BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO VEER THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A
RIDGE BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED ACROSS FLORIDA. A STRONG COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO RACE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF SUNDAY
NIGHT AND THROUGH KEYS WATERS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL
FRESHEN CONSIDERABLY BEHIND THE FRONT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WINDS RELAX SUBSTANTIALLY ON
TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
SOUTHEAST AND ACROSS FLORIDA.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM EST SAT JAN 24 2026
VFR AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH TONIGHT
AND INTO TOMORROW. WHILE THERE MAY BE SOME PERIODIC MVFR CIGS
THROUGH THE NIGHT, LOW COVERAGE OF CLOUDS WILL KEEP MENTION OUT OF
THE TAFS FOR NOW. NEAR SURFACE WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE EAST AT
NEAR 10 KNOTS, VEERING TO THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST BY TOMORROW
MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
KEY WEST 70 80 71 79 / 10 0 10 20
MARATHON 71 79 72 78 / 10 0 10 10
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...JAM
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....JAM
DATA ACQUISITION.....DR
VISIT US ON THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/KEY
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSKEYWEST
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSKEYWEST
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page