102
FXUS62 KKEY 280356
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1056 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
-FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY BREEZES WILL RELAX AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS FLORIDA. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS UP FOR ALL
KEYS WATERS OUTSIDE OF FLORIDA BAY, AND WILL BE RETAINED THROUGH
TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF KEYS WATERS.
-THE COLD AIR MASS BEHIND THE FRONT ALONG WITH A REINFORCING COLD
FRONT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK.
SOME SLIGHT MODERATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE BACK HALF OF THE
WORK WEEK.
-PROBABILITIES ARE INCREASING FOR HIGHER RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE
LATER PORTION OF THE WORK WEEK DUE TO SURFACE TROUGHING
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA STRAITS.
-PROBABILITIES ARE ALSO INCREASING FOR A SIGNIFICANT CHILLY WIND
SURGE THIS WEEKEND AS ANOTHER POWERFUL COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
RACE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA. PORTIONS OF THE UPPER KEYS MAY
SEE WIND CHILLS IN THE 30'S.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1056 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2026
MOSTLY QUIET AND WINDY NIGHT HAS BEEN ONGOING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
WINDS ALONG THE REEF ARE CONTINUING TO BE RECORDED AT NEAR 20
KNOTS AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE
COASTAL WATERS EXCEPT THE FLORIDA BAY. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
ISLAND CHAIN ARE NEAR 60F WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S
MAKING IT PRETTY CHILLY OUTSIDE. OVERNIGHT, CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SIMILAR THOUGH WINDS SHOULD START TO SLIGHTLY
SLACKEN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN IN THE SOUTHEAST.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1056 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2026
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAY/GULF SIDE WATERS,
HAWK CHANNEL AND STRAITS OF FLORIDA. FROM SYNOPSIS, WINDS HAVE
SLIGHTLY SLACKENED THIS AFTERNOON, AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILT
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. HOWEVER, SUSTAINED FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES AND ELEVATED
SEAS WILL LAST THROUGH THE EVENING. ADDITIONAL WIND SURGES ARE
BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT, AS A
REINFORCING COLD FRONT ROLLS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA. ANOTHER
POTENT WIND SURGE APPEARS LIKELY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1056 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH OVERNIGHT. NEAR
SURFACE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO FREQUENTLY GUST
TO NEAR 20 KNOTS. AMD NOT SKED IS INCLUDED FOR MTH DUE TO
TECHNICAL DIFFICULTIES WITH THE ASOS.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR GMZ032>035-
042>044-052>055-072>075.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....DR
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