985
FXUS62 KKEY 290350
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1050 PM EST WED JAN 28 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
-A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS UP FOR THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS DUE
TO FRESH NORTHERLY BREEZES.
-BREEZY CONDITIONS ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN WILL SLACKEN THURSDAY,
BUT THE COOL NORTHERLY COMPONENT OF OUR BREEZES WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES ON THE CHILLY SIDE OF NORMAL.
-PROBABILITIES ARE INCREASING FOR A DAMP AND COLD WEEKEND ACROSS
THE FLORIDA KEYS. PORTIONS OF THE UPPER KEYS MAY SEE WIND CHILLS
IN THE 30S BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.
KEY MESSAGES
-THOUGH WINDS HAVE COME DOWN FROM SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS,
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR MODERATE TO FRESH
NORTHERLY BREEZES.
-BREEZY CONDITIONS ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN WILL SLACKEN THURSDAY,
BUT THE COOL NORTHERLY COMPONENT OF OUR BREEZES WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES ON THE CHILLY SIDE OF NORMAL.
-PROBABILITIES ARE INCREASING FOR A DAMP AND COLD WEEKEND ACROSS
THE FLORIDA KEYS. PORTIONS OF THE UPPER KEYS MAY SEE WIND CHILLS
IN THE 30S BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1050 PM EST WED JAN 28 2026
OUTSIDE OF A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS IN THE DISTANT STRAITS MOVING
THORUGH THE UPPER KEYS, KBYX HAS REMAINED MOSTLY QUIET THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. GOES-19 VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS THAT CLOUDS
HAVE STARTED TO DRIFT AWAY MAKING THE LOWER KEYS MOSTLY CLEAR,
WHILE STILL HAVING CLOUDY CONDITIONS IN THE REST OF THE ISLAND
CHAIN. TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 60F WITH DEWPOINTS DIPPING INTO THE
UPPER 30S MAKING FOR A CHILLY NIGHT. ACROSS THE REEF, WINDS HAVE
SLIGHTLY SLACKENED TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS. AS A RESULT, SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN TAKEN DOWN BUT SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION HEADLINES STILL REMAIN AS BREEZES ARE STILL MODERATE TO
FRESH. OVERNIGHT, CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN SIMILAR TO THE CURRENT
OBSERVATIONS THEREFORE NO OTHER CHANGES WERE NECESSARY TO THIS
UPDATE PACKAGE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1050 PM EST WED JAN 28 2026
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZES
IN THE COASTAL WATERS. FROM SYNOPSIS, MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY
BREEZES WILL GRADUALLY SLACKEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S..
GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHERLY BREEZES WILL WILL BRIEFLY RETURN
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE GULF SATURDAY. BREEZES WILL BACK TO THE
NORTHWEST AS THE FRONT ARRIVES AT OUR DOORSTEP, AND A DRASTIC
FRESHENING WILL OCCUR DURING SATURDAY. CONFIDENCE IS GROWING FOR
GALE-FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY NIGHT WITH MARINE HAZARDS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1050 PM EST WED JAN 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH OVERNIGHT. CLOUD
COVERAGE HAS STARTED TO DIMINISH AT EYW BUT AT MTH HIGHER OVERCAST
CEILINGS REMAIN FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. NEAR SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
NORTHWEST TO NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
NEAR 20 KNOTS.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....DR
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